PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Nantes 0–1 Angers · Ligue 1

Nantes

LWLDD
0–1Historical match

Angers

LLWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Angers won 0–1.

Shots
814
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.521.12
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Angers beat Nantes 1–0. Recorded in this match (Nantes – Angers): shots 8–14, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.52–1.12, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nantes have a visible home split

moderate

Nantes's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match10.2 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Angers show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Angers's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsNantes · Angers9.23 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNantesAngersBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match9.23 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match14.3 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots14 shotsNantes 8 shots, Angers 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsNantes 3 shots, Angers 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.52 xG1.12 xGNantes 0.52 xG, Angers 1.12 xG
  • Possession58%42%Nantes 58%, Angers 42%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersNantes 4 corners, Angers 6 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsNantes 12 fouls, Angers 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Matthis Abline · Nantes · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJohann Lepenant · Nantes · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Lefort · Angers · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Angers · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetYassin Belkhdim · Angers · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedHimad Abdelli · Angers · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 76′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHimad Abdelli · Angers · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedHimad Abdelli · Angers · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Cozza · Nantes · 67′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMatthis Abline · Nantes · 15′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarius Courcoul · Angers · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedEsteban Lepaul · Angers · 82′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Camara · Angers · 14′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHimad Abdelli · Angers · 22′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPedro Chirivella · Nantes · 59′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLilian Raolisoa · Angers · 45′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNicolas Cozza · Nantes · 90′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJordan Lefort · Angers · 17′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJim Allevinah · Angers · 52′ · 0.19 xG · goalEsteban Lepaul · Angers · 63′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Nantes: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.54 xG. Angers: 14 shots, 2 on target, 1.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jim Allevinah · Angers · 52′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Nantes 0.54 xG · Angers 1.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Nantes
3Draws
0Angers
Angers — Nantes · Ligue 11–1
Nantes — Angers · Ligue 11–0
Angers — Nantes · Ligue 10–0
Nantes — Angers · Ligue 11–1
Angers — Nantes · Ligue 11–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nantes favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Angers in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nantes32 matchesAngers32 matches
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/320.94 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed32/321.56 goals/match
1.14 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/311.05 xG/match
10.2 shots/match ▲Shots32/319.23 shots/match
3.69 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/312.87 shots/match
39.9%Possession32/31● 41.1%
4.16 corners/match ●Corners32/313.71 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls32/3111.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 17:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNantesAngers
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
Head-to-headNantes — Angers
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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