PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2024

Auxerre 1–2 Le Havre · Ligue 1

Auxerre

WWLLW
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Le Havre won 1–2.

Shots
411
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.241.54
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Le Havre beat Auxerre 2–1. Recorded in this match (Auxerre – Le Havre): shots 4–11, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.24–1.54, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Le Havre's recent record differs from the season

weak

Le Havre's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots11 shotsAuxerre 4 shots, Le Havre 11 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsAuxerre 1 shot, Le Havre 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.24 xG1.54 xGAuxerre 0.24 xG, Le Havre 1.54 xG
  • Possession47%53%Auxerre 47%, Le Havre 53%
  • Corners0 corners9 cornersAuxerre 0 corners, Le Havre 9 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsAuxerre 11 fouls, Le Havre 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Auxerre
0Draws
1Le Havre
Le Havre — Auxerre · Ligue 13–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Auxerre favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Le Havre in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Auxerre32 matchesLe Havre32 matches
1.44 goals/match ▲Goals scored32/321.13 goals/match
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/322.06 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals32/311.26 xG/match
11.4 shots/match ▲Shots32/3110.5 shots/match
4.66 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/313.32 shots/match
42.1%Possession32/31● 42.2%
3.91 corners/matchCorners32/31● 4 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls32/3111.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 4 May 2025, 19:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAuxerreLe Havre
CompetitionLigue 1Ligue 1 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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