Ligue 1 · 2024

Auxerre 1–1 Nantes · Ligue 1

Auxerre

WLLWL
1–1Historical match

Nantes

WLDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Auxerre and Nantes drew 1–1.

Shots
97
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.430.67
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Auxerre and Nantes drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Auxerre – Nantes): shots 9–7, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.43–0.67, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Nantes's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Nantes's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.45 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Nantes have a visible away split

moderate

Nantes's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.35 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.35 shots/match10.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots7 shotsAuxerre 9 shots, Nantes 7 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsAuxerre 3 shots, Nantes 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.43 xG0.67 xGAuxerre 0.43 xG, Nantes 0.67 xG
  • Possession62%38%Auxerre 62%, Nantes 38%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersAuxerre 7 corners, Nantes 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls16 foulsAuxerre 15 fouls, Nantes 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jean-Charles Castelletto · Nantes · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 44′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAugusto Douglas · Nantes · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 45′ · 0.03 xG · goalElisha Owusu · Auxerre · 41′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 51′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 66′ · 0.05 xG · on targetHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 28′ · 0.06 xG · on targetHamed Junior Traorè · Auxerre · 41′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMostafa Mohamed · Nantes · 82′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLassine Sinayoko · Auxerre · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMatthis Abline · Nantes · 8′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedFrancis Coquelin · Nantes · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedGaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 27′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLouis Leroux · Nantes · 62′ · 0.38 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Auxerre: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.43 xG. Nantes: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.68 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Gaëtan Perrin · Auxerre · 45′Louis Leroux · Nantes · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Auxerre 0.43 xG · Nantes 0.68 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Auxerre
0Draws
2Nantes
Nantes — Auxerre · Ligue 12–0
Auxerre — Nantes · Ligue 12–1
Nantes — Auxerre · Ligue 11–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Auxerre favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Nantes in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Auxerre33 matchesNantes33 matches
1.42 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.09 goals/match
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals allowed33/331.58 goals/match
1.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.12 xG/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots33/3310.1 shots/match
4.61 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.64 shots/match
42.7% ●Possession33/3339.8%
4 corners/matchCorners33/33● 4.12 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 10 May 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

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