Bundesliga · 2023Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 13:30 UTCFull timeHistorical match

VfL Wolfsburg

WWL

2–1Historical match

1. FC Union Berlin

WWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	VfL Wolfsburg	1. FC Union Berlin
Shots	8 shots/match	19 shots/match▲
Shots on target	3 shots/match	6 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.36 xG/match	1.15 xG/match▲
Possession	43%	57%●
Corners	3 corners/match	7 corners/match●
Fouls	7 fouls/match	7 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

VfL Wolfsburg: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.37 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 19 shots, 6 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Wolfsburg 0.37 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 1.15 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: VfL Wolfsburg have recorded the higher season possession share. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

VfL Wolfsburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.8%●PossessionVfL Wolfsburg · 1. FC Union Berlin41%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	VfL Wolfsburg	1. FC Union Berlin	Baseline
Possession	50.8%	41%	48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1VfL Wolfsburg

1Draws

21. FC Union Berlin

12 Mar 2023VfL Wolfsburg — Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–1

18 Sept 2022Union Berlin — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–0

5 Mar 2022VfL Wolfsburg — Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–0

16 Oct 2021Union Berlin — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

VfL Wolfsburg favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 0 · 13 too close

1.75 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42.25 goals/match

1.25 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.75 goals/match

1.36 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 4/41.28 xG/match

1.3 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 4/41.52 xG/match

12 shots/matchShotsseason · 4/411.5 shots/match

14 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 4/413.3 shots/match

6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 4/44.75 shots/match

3.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 4/44.75 shots/match

50.8%●Possessionseason · 4/441%

2 corners/matchCornersseason · 4/4●4.5 corners/match

5.75 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 4/43.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 4/412.5 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/40%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/475%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

VfL Wolfsburg63.9

1. FC Union Berlin8.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

VfL Wolfsburg50.9

1. FC Union Berlin43.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

VfL Wolfsburg71.3

1. FC Union Berlin53.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

VfL Wolfsburg8.3

1. FC Union Berlin52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg27.8

1. FC Union Berlin63.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

VfL Wolfsburg5.6

1. FC Union Berlin50

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

VfL Wolfsburg32.6

1. FC Union Berlin43.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg4 matches1. FC Union Berlin4 matches

1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲2.25 goals/match

1.25 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match

1.36 xG/match▲Expected goals4/41.28 xG/match

12 shots/matchShots4/411.5 shots/match

6 shots/match▲Shots on target4/44.75 shots/match

50.8%●Possession4/441%

2 corners/matchCorners4/4●4.5 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

VfL Wolfsburg2 matches1. FC Union Berlin2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals2/2—

—Shots2/2—

—Shots on target2/2—

—Possession2/2—

—Corners2/2—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls2/2—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

14 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.9 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4