PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

VfL Wolfsburg 2–1 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg won 2–1.

Shots
819
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.361.15
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg beat 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1. Recorded in this match (VfL Wolfsburg – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 8–19, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.36–1.15, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

VfL Wolfsburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.8% ●PossessionVfL Wolfsburg · 1. FC Union Berlin41%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVfL Wolfsburg1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Possession50.8%41%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots19 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 8 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 3 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.36 xG1.15 xGVfL Wolfsburg 0.36 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.15 xG
  • Possession43%57%VfL Wolfsburg 43%, 1. FC Union Berlin 57%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersVfL Wolfsburg 3 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 7 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls7 foulsVfL Wolfsburg 7 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Robin Knoche · 1. FC Union Berlin · 79′ · 0.00 xG · on targetJanik Haberer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 53′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAissa Laïdouni · 1. FC Union Berlin · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 30′ · 0.02 xG · goalJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAissa Laïdouni · 1. FC Union Berlin · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 68′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 10′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSheraldo Becker · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRogério · VfL Wolfsburg · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMattias Svanberg · VfL Wolfsburg · 39′ · 0.04 xG · on targetKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · 1. FC Union Berlin · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLovro Majer · VfL Wolfsburg · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJanik Haberer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 7′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 24′ · 0.08 xG · on targetTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAissa Laïdouni · 1. FC Union Berlin · 32′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 2′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 12′ · 0.11 xG · goalRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 28′ · 0.13 xG · goalKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSheraldo Becker · 1. FC Union Berlin · 86′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Wolfsburg: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.37 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 19 shots, 6 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Jonas Wind · VfL Wolfsburg · 12′Joakim Mæhle · VfL Wolfsburg · 30′Robin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 28′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Wolfsburg 0.37 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 1.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1VfL Wolfsburg
1Draws
21. FC Union Berlin
VfL Wolfsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Union Berlin — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–0
VfL Wolfsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–0
1. FC Union Berlin — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Wolfsburg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg4 matches1. FC Union Berlin4 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2.25 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.75 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.28 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots4/411.5 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.75 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession4/441%
2 corners/matchCorners4/4● 4.5 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls4/412.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Wolfsburg1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headVfL Wolfsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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