PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

RB Leipzig 3–0 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig won 3–0.

Shots
916
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.081.69
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig beat FC Augsburg 3–0. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – FC Augsburg): shots 9–16, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.08–1.69, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · FC Augsburg14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigFC AugsburgBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against9.75 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share.

57% ●PossessionRB Leipzig · FC Augsburg44.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigFC AugsburgBaseline
Possession57%44.5%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsRB Leipzig 9 shots, FC Augsburg 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsRB Leipzig 6 shots, FC Augsburg 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG1.69 xGRB Leipzig 1.08 xG, FC Augsburg 1.69 xG
  • Possession54%46%RB Leipzig 54%, FC Augsburg 46%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersRB Leipzig 1 corner, FC Augsburg 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls12 foulsRB Leipzig 16 fouls, FC Augsburg 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ermedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 74′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPatric Pfeiffer · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDion Drena Beljo · FC Augsburg · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid Raum · RB Leipzig · 27′ · 0.04 xG · goalRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid Raum · RB Leipzig · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEmil Forsberg · RB Leipzig · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Henrichs · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 61′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 72′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKevin Mbabu · FC Augsburg · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDion Drena Beljo · FC Augsburg · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatric Pfeiffer · FC Augsburg · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 26′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 75′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 65′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 49′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMaximilian Bauer · FC Augsburg · 23′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 6′ · 0.20 xG · goalPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 63′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 11′ · 0.28 xG · goalLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 40′ · 0.29 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 56′ · 0.60 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RB Leipzig: 9 shots, 6 on target, 1.07 xG. FC Augsburg: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Xavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 6′Loïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 11′David Raum · RB Leipzig · 27′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RB Leipzig 1.07 xG · FC Augsburg 1.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2RB Leipzig
2Draws
0FC Augsburg
RB Leipzig — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–2
FC Augsburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga3–3
RB Leipzig — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga4–0
FC Augsburg — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig4 matchesFC Augsburg4 matches
3.25 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.75 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed4/43 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.63 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots4/414.3 shots/match
7.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.5 shots/match
57% ●Possession4/444.5%
4.25 corners/matchCorners4/4● 5.25 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls4/411 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRB LeipzigFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headRB Leipzig — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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