Bundesliga · 2023

FC Augsburg 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 2–1.

Shots
512
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
0.820.56
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – 1. FSV Mainz 05): shots 5–12, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 0.82–0.56, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Augsburg · 1. FSV Mainz 0512.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Augsburg1. FSV Mainz 05Baseline
Shots12.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against14.2 shots/match10.2 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots12 shotsFC Augsburg 5 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsFC Augsburg 3 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG0.56 xGFC Augsburg 0.82 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.56 xG
  • Possession41%59%FC Augsburg 41%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 59%
  • Corners3 corners4 cornersFC Augsburg 3 corners, 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsFC Augsburg 16 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Elvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDominik Kohr · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 63′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMarco Richter · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEdimilson Fernandes · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBrajan Gruda · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnwar El Ghazi · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 82′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKarim Onisiwo · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 71′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSven Michel · FC Augsburg · 77′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMarco Richter · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 6′ · 0.07 xG · goalEdimilson Fernandes · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 14′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBrajan Gruda · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 74′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Barreiro · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 68′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 15′ · 0.17 xG · goalErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 5 shots, 3 on target, 0.80 xG. 1. FSV Mainz 05: 12 shots, 2 on target, 0.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Ermedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 15′Ermedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 45′Ludovic Ajorque · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 6′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 0.80 xG · 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.57 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1FC Augsburg
0Draws
31. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05 — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–1
FC Augsburg — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–2
FC Augsburg — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg5 matches1. FSV Mainz 055 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
2.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.8 goals/match
1.47 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.11 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots5/512.4 shots/match
4.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.6 shots/match
43.8%Possession5/5● 49.2%
4.8 corners/match ●Corners5/54.6 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/516 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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