PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 1–3.

Shots
1515
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.971.56
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1. Recorded in this match (1. FSV Mainz 05 – VfB Stuttgart): shots 15–15, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.97–1.56, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots15 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 15 shots, VfB Stuttgart 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shots1. FSV Mainz 05 3 shots, VfB Stuttgart 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.97 xG1.56 xG1. FSV Mainz 05 0.97 xG, VfB Stuttgart 1.56 xG
  • Possession39%61%1. FSV Mainz 05 39%, VfB Stuttgart 61%
  • Corners6 corners4 corners1. FSV Mainz 05 6 corners, VfB Stuttgart 4 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 fouls1. FSV Mainz 05 12 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marco Richter · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKarim Onisiwo · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedHiroki Itō · VfB Stuttgart · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEdimilson Fernandes · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDominik Kohr · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarco Richter · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPascal Stenzel · VfB Stuttgart · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKarim Onisiwo · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHiroki Itō · VfB Stuttgart · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKarim Onisiwo · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 56′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAymen Barkok · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTom Krauß · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMarco Richter · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 56′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 56′ · 0.08 xG · goalSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalMarco Richter · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 9′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 17′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAymen Barkok · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarco Richter · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 9′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedSilas · VfB Stuttgart · 38′ · 0.19 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 84′ · 0.19 xG · goalChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 61′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Barreiro · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 69′ · 0.28 xG · goalJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 88′ · 0.53 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FSV Mainz 05: 15 shots, 3 on target, 0.99 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.58 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Leandro Barreiro · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 69′Serhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 56′Serhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 84′Serhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.99 xG · VfB Stuttgart 1.58 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FSV Mainz 05
2Draws
2VfB Stuttgart
1. FSV Mainz 05 — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–4
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga0–0
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FSV Mainz 05 favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FSV Mainz 054 matchesVfB Stuttgart4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 3.5 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.89 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots4/4▲ 14.5 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 6.25 shots/match
46.8%Possession4/4● 53.8%
4.75 corners/match ●Corners4/44.25 corners/match
16.3 fouls/matchFouls4/48.25 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 16 Sept 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FSV Mainz 05VfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FSV Mainz 05 — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required