PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 1–0 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 1–0.

Shots
235
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
2.690.37
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat SV Werder Bremen 1–0. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – SV Werder Bremen): shots 23–5, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 2.69–0.37, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · SV Werder Bremen11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundSV Werder BremenBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match11.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against12.5 shots/match17.5 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match2.13 goals/match1.54 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

60.3% ●PossessionBorussia Dortmund · SV Werder Bremen47.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundSV Werder BremenBaseline
Possession60.3%47.5%47.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots5 shotsBorussia Dortmund 23 shots, SV Werder Bremen 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotBorussia Dortmund 5 shots, SV Werder Bremen 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.69 xG0.37 xGBorussia Dortmund 2.69 xG, SV Werder Bremen 0.37 xG
  • Possession57%43%Borussia Dortmund 57%, SV Werder Bremen 43%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersBorussia Dortmund 10 corners, SV Werder Bremen 4 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls10 foulsBorussia Dortmund 5 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Julian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 58′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 87′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Reyna · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 53′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 6′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 85′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 82′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJustin Njinmah · SV Werder Bremen · 69′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 85′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMarius Wolf · Borussia Dortmund · 7′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 83′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Reyna · Borussia Dortmund · 89′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedSébastien Haller · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 39′ · 0.24 xG · on targetMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 32′ · 0.43 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 67′ · 0.66 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 23 shots, 5 on target, 2.64 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.36 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Julian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 67′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 2.64 xG · SV Werder Bremen 0.36 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Borussia Dortmund
0Draws
1SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–2
Borussia Dortmund — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund8 matchesSV Werder Bremen8 matches
2.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/81.5 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed8/82.25 goals/match
2.08 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.53 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots8/811.4 shots/match
5.13 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/83.63 shots/match
60.3% ●Possession8/847.5%
5.38 corners/match ●Corners8/83.5 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls8/814.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Oct 2023, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required