PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

Newcastle United 0–1 Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 0–1.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.081.79
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat Newcastle United 1–0. Recorded in this match (Newcastle United – Borussia Dortmund): shots 12–13, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.08–1.79, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsNewcastle United · Borussia Dortmund15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNewcastle UnitedBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots10 shots/match15 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against16.3 shots/match14.3 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsNewcastle United 12 shots, Borussia Dortmund 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsNewcastle United 3 shots, Borussia Dortmund 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG1.79 xGNewcastle United 1.08 xG, Borussia Dortmund 1.79 xG
  • Possession60%40%Newcastle United 60%, Borussia Dortmund 40%
  • Corners11 corners9 cornersNewcastle United 11 corners, Borussia Dortmund 9 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls15 foulsNewcastle United 8 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dan Burn · Newcastle United · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoe Willock · Newcastle United · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Almirón · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoelinton · Newcastle United · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 40′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 52′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 57′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 2′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCallum Wilson · Newcastle United · 86′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSandro Tonali · Newcastle United · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 19′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJamaal Lascelles · Newcastle United · 85′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 26′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMarco Reus · Borussia Dortmund · 2′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 45′ · 0.25 xG · goalDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 2′ · 0.29 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 10′ · 0.29 xG · on targetAnthony Gordon · Newcastle United · 11′ · 0.31 xG · on targetCallum Wilson · Newcastle United · 57′ · 0.32 xG · on targetNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 10′ · 0.59 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Newcastle United: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.07 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 13 shots, 5 on target, 2.05 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Felix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 45′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Newcastle United 1.07 xG · Borussia Dortmund 2.05 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Newcastle United favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Newcastle United3 matchesBorussia Dortmund3 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.14 xG/match
10 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 15 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/33 shots/match
44.7% ●Possession3/343%
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/3● 7.33 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 25 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNewcastle UnitedBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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