Celtic and Atlético Madrid drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Celtic – Atlético Madrid): shots 6–15, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.89–2.09, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics
CelticAtlético Madrid
Shots6 shots15 shotsCeltic 6 shots, Atlético Madrid 15 shots
Shots on target3 shots6 shotsCeltic 3 shots, Atlético Madrid 6 shots
Expected goals0.89 xG2.09 xGCeltic 0.89 xG, Atlético Madrid 2.09 xG
Possession53%47%Celtic 53%, Atlético Madrid 47%
Corners4 corners4 cornersCeltic 4 corners, Atlético Madrid 4 corners
Fouls12 fouls11 foulsCeltic 12 fouls, Atlético Madrid 11 fouls
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
Atlético Madrid← attackingattacking →Celtic
off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG
Celtic: 6 shots, 3 on target, 0.92 xG. Atlético Madrid: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.72 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Celtic0.92 xGAtlético Madrid2.72 xG
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Celtic 0.92 xG · Atlético Madrid 2.72 xG.
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Where the edge is
Season: Celtic favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 0 · 11 too close
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive) too close
Window
Season
Celtic3 matchesAtlético Madrid3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.27 xG/match
8.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 10.3 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 4.33 shots/match
49% ●Possession3/348.7%
3 corners/matchCorners3/3● 4.33 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match
Window
Last 10
Celtic3 matchesAtlético Madrid3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.27 xG/match
8.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 10.3 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 4.33 shots/match
49% ●Possession3/348.7%
3 corners/matchCorners3/3● 4.33 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match
Window
Last 5
Celtic3 matchesAtlético Madrid3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
0.77 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 1.27 xG/match
8.33 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 10.3 shots/match
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 4.33 shots/match
49% ●Possession3/348.7%
3 corners/matchCorners3/3● 4.33 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Celtic47.8
Atlético Madrid43.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Celtic16.7
Atlético Madrid46.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Celtic30.7
Atlético Madrid27.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Celtic3.3
Atlético Madrid18.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Celtic36.2
Atlético Madrid24.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Celtic6.5
Atlético Madrid29.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Celtic19.0
Atlético Madrid31.0
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%
Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches
21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/121.1 days
Celtic / Atlético Madrid
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 25 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
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