PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Union Berlin 0–3 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 0–3.

Shots
910
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.621.38
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat 1. FC Union Berlin 3–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – VfB Stuttgart): shots 9–10, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.62–1.38, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.38 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.38 goals/match1.46 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Union Berlin have a visible home split

weak

1. FC Union Berlin's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.3%Possession1. FC Union Berlin · VfB Stuttgart● 56.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.0 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinVfB StuttgartBaseline
Possession43.3%56.3%47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots10 shots1. FC Union Berlin 9 shots, VfB Stuttgart 10 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shots1. FC Union Berlin 1 shot, VfB Stuttgart 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.62 xG1.38 xG1. FC Union Berlin 0.62 xG, VfB Stuttgart 1.38 xG
  • Possession42%58%1. FC Union Berlin 42%, VfB Stuttgart 58%
  • Corners4 corners2 corners1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners, VfB Stuttgart 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls12 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 12 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Sheraldo Becker · 1. FC Union Berlin · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Rouault · VfB Stuttgart · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · VfB Stuttgart · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSilas · VfB Stuttgart · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Mittelstädt · VfB Stuttgart · 76′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDanilho Doekhi · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 66′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAissa Laïdouni · 1. FC Union Berlin · 75′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Leite · 1. FC Union Berlin · 86′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 86′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 60′ · 0.16 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · 1. FC Union Berlin · 79′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 16′ · 0.32 xG · goalDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 88′ · 0.33 xG · goalSilas · VfB Stuttgart · 81′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 9 shots, 1 on target, 0.62 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 10 shots, 5 on target, 1.38 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Serhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 16′Silas · VfB Stuttgart · 81′Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 0.62 xG · VfB Stuttgart 1.38 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

21. FC Union Berlin
2Draws
0VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Union Berlin — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga3–0
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga0–1
1. FC Union Berlin — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga1–1
VfB Stuttgart — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin8 matchesVfB Stuttgart8 matches
1.38 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 3.13 goals/match
2.13 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1 goal/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 2.05 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14.8 shots/match
4.88 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 6.63 shots/match
43.3%Possession8/8● 56.3%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners8/84.13 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls8/89.13 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Oct 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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