PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

SC Freiburg 2–1 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg won 2–1.

Shots
1713
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.431.49
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg beat VfL Bochum 1848 2–1. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 17–13, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.43–1.49, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible away split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Freiburg's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Freiburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Freiburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Freiburg · VfL Bochum 184814.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC FreiburgVfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Shots12.8 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match17.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots13 shotsSC Freiburg 17 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsSC Freiburg 5 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.43 xG1.49 xGSC Freiburg 2.43 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 1.49 xG
  • Possession58%42%SC Freiburg 58%, VfL Bochum 1848 42%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersSC Freiburg 5 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsSC Freiburg 11 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Cristian Gamboa · VfL Bochum 1848 · 31′ · 0.01 xG · on targetNicolas Höfler · SC Freiburg · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDanilo Soares · VfL Bochum 1848 · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Philipp · SC Freiburg · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Antwi-Adjei · VfL Bochum 1848 · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 15′ · 0.04 xG · goalKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRoland Sallai · SC Freiburg · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 36′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 59′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 72′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMaximilian Philipp · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 72′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedManuel Gulde · SC Freiburg · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 87′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 54′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedIvan Ordets · VfL Bochum 1848 · 78′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Antwi-Adjei · VfL Bochum 1848 · 57′ · 0.25 xG · on targetBernardo · VfL Bochum 1848 · 12′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 40′ · 0.38 xG · on targetRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 26′ · 0.39 xG · goalGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 18′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Freiburg: 17 shots, 5 on target, 2.47 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.44 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ritsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 26′Vincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 45′Gonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 15′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 2.47 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 1.44 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg8 matchesVfL Bochum 18488 matches
1.13 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/80.75 goals/match
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/82.63 goals/match
1.41 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/81.16 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 14.6 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target8/84.38 shots/match
48% ●Possession8/843.5%
3.5 corners/match ●Corners8/83.38 corners/match
9.63 fouls/matchFouls8/813.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Oct 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC FreiburgVfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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