PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Darmstadt 98 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Darmstadt 98 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 drew 0–0.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
31
Expected goals
0.490.67
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Darmstadt 98 and 1. FSV Mainz 05 drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Darmstadt 98 – 1. FSV Mainz 05): shots 10–11, shots on target 3–1, expected goals 0.49–0.67, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FSV Mainz 05's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FSV Mainz 05's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Darmstadt 98 have a visible home split

moderate

Darmstadt 98's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.5 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.7 fouls/matchFoulsDarmstadt 98 · 1. FSV Mainz 0514.8 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricDarmstadt 981. FSV Mainz 05Baseline
Fouls13.7 fouls/match14.8 fouls/match11.9 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsDarmstadt 98 10 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots1 shotDarmstadt 98 3 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.49 xG0.67 xGDarmstadt 98 0.49 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.67 xG
  • Possession56%44%Darmstadt 98 56%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 44%
  • Corners0 corners5 cornersDarmstadt 98 0 corners, 1. FSV Mainz 05 5 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls15 foulsDarmstadt 98 20 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Dominik Kohr · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 43′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabian Nürnberger · Darmstadt 98 · 86′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 14′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKarim Onisiwo · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Mehlem · Darmstadt 98 · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMathias Honsak · Darmstadt 98 · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAnthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 38′ · 0.06 xG · on targetLeandro Barreiro · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDominik Kohr · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 72′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Barreiro · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 13′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOscar Vilhelmsson · Darmstadt 98 · 53′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 62′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDanny da Costa · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 89′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFraser Hornby · Darmstadt 98 · 88′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSepp van den Berg · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 25′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Darmstadt 98: 10 shots, 3 on target, 0.48 xG. 1. FSV Mainz 05: 11 shots, 1 on target, 0.65 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Darmstadt 98 0.48 xG · 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.65 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Darmstadt 98 favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Darmstadt 9811 matches1. FSV Mainz 0511 matches
1.27 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111 goal/match
2.91 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 2.18 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/110.91 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots11/1112 shots/match
3.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.45 shots/match
48.5% ●Possession11/1145%
3.82 corners/matchCorners11/113.82 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDarmstadt 981. FSV Mainz 05
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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