PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Darmstadt 98 1–2 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Bochum 1848 won 1–2.

Shots
159
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
0.681.19
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Bochum 1848 beat Darmstadt 98 2–1. Recorded in this match (Darmstadt 98 – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 15–9, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 0.68–1.19, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Darmstadt 98 have a visible home split

moderate

Darmstadt 98's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

weak

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

VfL Bochum 1848's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsDarmstadt 98 · VfL Bochum 184813.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDarmstadt 98VfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Shots12.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against16.4 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsDarmstadt 98 15 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 9 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsDarmstadt 98 4 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.68 xG1.19 xGDarmstadt 98 0.68 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 1.19 xG
  • Possession59%41%Darmstadt 98 59%, VfL Bochum 1848 41%
  • Corners11 corners2 cornersDarmstadt 98 11 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls16 foulsDarmstadt 98 7 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 4′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMatthias Bader · Darmstadt 98 · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJannik Müller · Darmstadt 98 · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 8′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabian Nürnberger · Darmstadt 98 · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Osterhage · VfL Bochum 1848 · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTobias Kempe · Darmstadt 98 · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFabian Nürnberger · Darmstadt 98 · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLuca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 83′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 9′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 82′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 54′ · 0.08 xG · goalGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 81′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFabian Nürnberger · Darmstadt 98 · 43′ · 0.10 xG · goalMoritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 61′ · 0.17 xG · on targetTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 25′ · 0.37 xG · goalBernardo · VfL Bochum 1848 · 81′ · 0.46 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Darmstadt 98: 15 shots, 4 on target, 0.67 xG. VfL Bochum 1848: 9 shots, 4 on target, 1.24 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Fabian Nürnberger · Darmstadt 98 · 43′Takuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 25′Takuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Darmstadt 98 0.67 xG · VfL Bochum 1848 1.24 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Darmstadt 98 favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Darmstadt 9810 matchesVfL Bochum 184810 matches
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101 goal/match
3.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 2.4 goals/match
1.26 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.19 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.9 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.3 shots/match
47.8% ●Possession10/1043.9%
4.2 corners/match ●Corners10/103.4 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 3 Nov 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDarmstadt 98VfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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