PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

SC Freiburg 3–3 Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga

3–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SC Freiburg and Borussia M'gladbach drew 3–3.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
95
Expected goals
3.382.17
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

SC Freiburg and Borussia M'gladbach drew 3–3. Recorded in this match (SC Freiburg – Borussia M'gladbach): shots 16–10, shots on target 9–5, expected goals 3.38–2.17, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Freiburg's recent record differs from the season

weak

SC Freiburg's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Freiburg have a visible home split

moderate

SC Freiburg's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

SC Freiburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

SC Freiburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSC Freiburg · Borussia M'gladbach14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSC FreiburgBorussia M'gladbachBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match17.8 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsSC Freiburg 16 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots5 shotsSC Freiburg 9 shots, Borussia M'gladbach 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.38 xG2.17 xGSC Freiburg 3.38 xG, Borussia M'gladbach 2.17 xG
  • Possession59%41%SC Freiburg 59%, Borussia M'gladbach 41%
  • Corners8 corners2 cornersSC Freiburg 8 corners, Borussia M'gladbach 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsSC Freiburg 7 fouls, Borussia M'gladbach 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Maximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 2′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 55′ · 0.01 xG · on targetVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 64′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 77′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 47′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 65′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 32′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMerlin Röhl · SC Freiburg · 58′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMerlin Röhl · SC Freiburg · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMerlin Röhl · SC Freiburg · 2′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 81′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPhilipp Lienhart · SC Freiburg · 6′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 86′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNoah Weißhaupt · SC Freiburg · 61′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNoah Weißhaupt · SC Freiburg · 70′ · 0.20 xG · goalMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 86′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 25′ · 0.32 xG · goalLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 6′ · 0.64 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 29′ · 0.75 xG · goalJulian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 39′ · 0.82 xG · goalVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goalLucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 7′ · 0.91 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SC Freiburg: 16 shots, 8 on target, 3.43 xG. Borussia M'gladbach: 10 shots, 5 on target, 2.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Lucas Höler · SC Freiburg · 7′Noah Weißhaupt · SC Freiburg · 70′Vincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 90′Jordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 25′Alassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 29′Julian Weigl · Borussia M'gladbach · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SC Freiburg 3.43 xG · Borussia M'gladbach 2.17 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SC Freiburg
3Draws
0Borussia M'gladbach
Borussia M'gladbach — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–0
SC Freiburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga0–0
SC Freiburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga3–3
Borussia M'gladbach — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–6

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SC Freiburg favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia M'gladbach in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SC Freiburg10 matchesBorussia M'gladbach10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.9 goals/match
1.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/102.3 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.64 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 14.1 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 5.3 shots/match
47.2% ●Possession10/1046.5%
4 corners/matchCorners10/10● 6.1 corners/match
9.4 fouls/matchFouls10/109.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSC FreiburgBorussia M'gladbach
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headSC Freiburg — Borussia M'gladbach
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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