PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

FC Bayern München 4–2 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 4–2.

Shots
198
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
1.980.95
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat 1. FC Heidenheim 4–2. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 19–8, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 1.98–0.95, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

7 corners/match ●CornersFC Bayern München · 1. FC Heidenheim6.09 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern München1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Corners7 corners/match6.09 corners/match4.41 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.8 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · 1. FC Heidenheim12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern München1. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Shots19.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against8.73 shots/match16 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible away split

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsFC Bayern München 19 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 8 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsFC Bayern München 8 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.98 xG0.95 xGFC Bayern München 1.98 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 0.95 xG
  • Possession73%27%FC Bayern München 73%, 1. FC Heidenheim 27%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersFC Bayern München 7 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsFC Bayern München 8 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 48′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 18′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 20′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 80′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKim Min-jae · FC Bayern München · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 44′ · 0.05 xG · goalHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 82′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.08 xG · goalEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 11′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJan Schöppner · 1. FC Heidenheim · 4′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 85′ · 0.11 xG · goalTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 70′ · 0.13 xG · goalEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 72′ · 0.13 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 78′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 14′ · 0.15 xG · goalRaphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 82′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 58′ · 0.16 xG · on targetBouna Sarr · FC Bayern München · 43′ · 0.21 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 32′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 67′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 19 shots, 8 on target, 1.97 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 14′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 44′Raphaël Guerreiro · FC Bayern München · 72′Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 85′Tim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 67′Jan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 70′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 1.97 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 0.94 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München11 matches1. FC Heidenheim11 matches
3.82 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.55 goals/match
0.82 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/112.36 goals/match
3.01 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.33 xG/match
19.8 shots/match ▲Shots11/1112.4 shots/match
8.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.91 shots/match
62.3% ●Possession11/1141.6%
7 corners/match ●Corners11/116.09 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern München1. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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