Bundesliga · 2023Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 17:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

VfL Bochum 1848

LDLDW

1–1Full-time recap

1. FC Köln

LLWLD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	VfL Bochum 1848	1. FC Köln
Shots	25 shots/match▲	11 shots/match
Shots on target	9 shots/match▲	6 shots/match
Expected goals	3.78 xG/match▲	0.94 xG/match
Possession	52%●	48%
Corners	3 corners/match	3 corners/match
Fouls	14 fouls/match	19 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 25 shots, 9 on target, 4.00 xG. 1. FC Köln: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 4.00 xG · 1. FC Köln 0.93 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: VfL Bochum 1848's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. A second useful context is: 1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible home split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.6 shots/match▲ShotsHome only · Season14.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

Metric	Home only	Season	Baseline
Shots	20.6 shots/match	14.8 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1 goals/match	0.82 goals/match	1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match▲ShotsVfL Bochum 1848 · 1. FC Köln13.6 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	VfL Bochum 1848	1. FC Köln	Baseline
Shots	14.8 shots/match	13.6 shots/match	12.9 shots/match
Shots against	16 shots/match	16.4 shots/match	14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1VfL Bochum 1848

2Draws

11. FC Köln

10 Mar 20231. FC Köln — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga0–2

18 Sept 2022VfL Bochum 1848 — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1

22 Jan 2022VfL Bochum 1848 — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga2–2

28 Aug 20211. FC Köln — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 4 · 3 too close

1 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/110.82 goals/match

2.27 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/11▲2.09 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/111.29 xG/match

1.99 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 11/112.27 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1113.6 shots/match

16 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/1116.4 shots/match

4.73 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/11▲5 shots/match

6.27 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/11▲5.64 shots/match

44.6%Possessionseason · 11/11●46%

3.36 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/11●5.91 corners/match

6 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/11▲5.64 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

14.1 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1112.3 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

9%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/110%

73%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1164%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

VfL Bochum 184819.4

1. FC Köln30.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

VfL Bochum 184847.2

1. FC Köln43.5

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

VfL Bochum 184820.4

1. FC Köln26.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

VfL Bochum 184897.2

1. FC Köln69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

VfL Bochum 184886.1

1. FC Köln52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

VfL Bochum 18488.3

1. FC Köln80.6

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

VfL Bochum 184856.2

1. FC Köln65.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 184811 matches1. FC Köln11 matches

1 goals/match▲Goals scored11/110.82 goals/match

2.27 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲2.09 goals/match

1.43 xG/match▲Expected goals11/111.29 xG/match

14.8 shots/match▲Shots11/1113.6 shots/match

4.73 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲5 shots/match

44.6%Possession11/11●46%

3.36 corners/matchCorners11/11●5.91 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

VfL Bochum 18485 matches1. FC Köln6 matches

1.2 goals/match▲Goals scored5/60.5 goals/match

1.6 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/62.33 goals/match

2 xG/match▲Expected goals5/61.13 xG/match

20.6 shots/match▲Shots5/69.33 shots/match

6.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/63.67 shots/match

48.6%●Possession5/640.3%

5.2 corners/match●Corners5/63.33 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

15 fouls/matchFouls5/612.5 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.92 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4