PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

VfL Bochum 1848 1–1 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Bochum 1848 and 1. FC Köln drew 1–1.

Shots
2511
Shots on target
96
Expected goals
3.780.94
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Bochum 1848 and 1. FC Köln drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – 1. FC Köln): shots 25–11, shots on target 9–6, expected goals 3.78–0.94, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible home split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

20.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots20.6 shots/match14.8 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.82 goals/match1.57 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsVfL Bochum 1848 · 1. FC Köln13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 18481. FC KölnBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match16.4 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots11 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 25 shots, 1. FC Köln 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots6 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 9 shots, 1. FC Köln 6 shots
  • Expected goals3.78 xG0.94 xGVfL Bochum 1848 3.78 xG, 1. FC Köln 0.94 xG
  • Possession52%48%VfL Bochum 1848 52%, 1. FC Köln 48%
  • Corners3 corners3 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 3 corners, 1. FC Köln 3 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls19 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 14 fouls, 1. FC Köln 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Moritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 19′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 57′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCristian Gamboa · VfL Bochum 1848 · 87′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCristian Gamboa · VfL Bochum 1848 · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 60′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSteffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGonçalo Paciência · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · 1. FC Köln · 15′ · 0.04 xG · on targetLukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 20′ · 0.04 xG · on targetErhan Mašović · VfL Bochum 1848 · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 72′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSteffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 84′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 2′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTimo Hübers · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 9′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 14′ · 0.08 xG · on targetPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 25′ · 0.11 xG · on targetKevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 69′ · 0.11 xG · on targetMoritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 45′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 22′ · 0.15 xG · on targetDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 76′ · 0.16 xG · on targetErhan Mašović · VfL Bochum 1848 · 23′ · 0.26 xG · on targetTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 73′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 69′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 54′ · 0.34 xG · goalLukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 66′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · VfL Bochum 1848 · 73′ · 0.52 xG · on targetTakuma Asano · VfL Bochum 1848 · 49′ · 0.53 xG · on targetLukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 25′ · 0.78 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 25 shots, 9 on target, 4.00 xG. 1. FC Köln: 11 shots, 6 on target, 0.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Lukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 25′Davie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 54′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 4.00 xG · 1. FC Köln 0.93 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 184811 matches1. FC Köln11 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored11/110.82 goals/match
2.27 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 2.09 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.29 xG/match
14.8 shots/match ▲Shots11/1113.6 shots/match
4.73 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 5 shots/match
44.6%Possession11/11● 46%
3.36 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.91 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 18481. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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