PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Köln 1–1 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Köln and FC Augsburg drew 1–1.

Shots
2618
Shots on target
112
Expected goals
2.092.61
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Köln and FC Augsburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Köln – FC Augsburg): shots 26–18, shots on target 11–2, expected goals 2.09–2.61, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Köln have a visible home split

moderate

1. FC Köln's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.8 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots18 shots1. FC Köln 26 shots, FC Augsburg 18 shots
  • Shots on target11 shots2 shots1. FC Köln 11 shots, FC Augsburg 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.09 xG2.61 xG1. FC Köln 2.09 xG, FC Augsburg 2.61 xG
  • Possession59%41%1. FC Köln 59%, FC Augsburg 41%
  • Corners10 corners2 corners1. FC Köln 10 corners, FC Augsburg 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 fouls1. FC Köln 10 fouls, FC Augsburg 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Linton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 62′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 72′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 79′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 24′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 75′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Gumny · FC Augsburg · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenno Schmitz · 1. FC Köln · 82′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNiklas Dorsch · FC Augsburg · 41′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 60′ · 0.04 xG · on targetElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 82′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 45′ · 0.05 xG · on targetTimo Hübers · 1. FC Köln · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Jensen · FC Augsburg · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSteffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 52′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeart Paqarada · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMark Uth · 1. FC Köln · 20′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDavie Selke · 1. FC Köln · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 20′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 72′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 7′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 19′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.12 xG · on targetEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 26′ · 0.16 xG · on targetLuca Waldschmidt · 1. FC Köln · 53′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMaximilian Bauer · FC Augsburg · 52′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 16′ · 0.21 xG · goalJeff Chabot · 1. FC Köln · 54′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Bauer · FC Augsburg · 72′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 86′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedMark Uth · 1. FC Köln · 48′ · 0.37 xG · on targetPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 25′ · 0.45 xG · goalPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 41′ · 0.86 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Köln: 26 shots, 11 on target, 2.10 xG. FC Augsburg: 18 shots, 2 on target, 2.73 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Linton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 16′Phillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 25′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Köln 2.10 xG · FC Augsburg 2.73 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

31. FC Köln
0Draws
1FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–3
1. FC Köln — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–2
FC Augsburg — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–4
1. FC Köln — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Köln favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Köln10 matchesFC Augsburg10 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.9 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.2 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.56 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots10/1012.8 shots/match
4.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104 shots/match
45.8% ●Possession10/1043.3%
6.2 corners/match ●Corners10/104.3 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Nov 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC KölnFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Köln — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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