PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Köln 0–1 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 0–1.

Shots
621
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.213.62
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat 1. FC Köln 1–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Köln – FC Bayern München): shots 6–21, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.21–3.62, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13 shots/match ▲Shots1. FC Köln · FC Bayern München19.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric1. FC KölnFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots13 shots/match19.9 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against16.8 shots/match8.5 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Köln's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.75 goals/match1.59 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.67 corners/matchCorners1. FC Köln · FC Bayern München● 7.42 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric1. FC KölnFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Corners5.67 corners/match7.42 corners/match4.41 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots21 shots1. FC Köln 6 shots, FC Bayern München 21 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shots1. FC Köln 1 shot, FC Bayern München 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.21 xG3.62 xG1. FC Köln 0.21 xG, FC Bayern München 3.62 xG
  • Possession31%69%1. FC Köln 31%, FC Bayern München 69%
  • Corners3 corners12 corners1. FC Köln 3 corners, FC Bayern München 12 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls4 fouls1. FC Köln 6 fouls, FC Bayern München 4 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Linton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 46′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Kainz · 1. FC Köln · 11′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoussair Mazraoui · FC Bayern München · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 55′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNoussair Mazraoui · FC Bayern München · 70′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 10′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNoussair Mazraoui · FC Bayern München · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 5′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTimo Hübers · 1. FC Köln · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 66′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedRasmus Carstensen · 1. FC Köln · 31′ · 0.08 xG · on targetKim Min-jae · FC Bayern München · 43′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDayot Upamecano · FC Bayern München · 23′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 42′ · 0.10 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 77′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedEric Maxim Choupo-Moting · FC Bayern München · 22′ · 0.28 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 78′ · 0.36 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 28′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 7′ · 0.59 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 20′ · 0.95 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Köln: 6 shots, 1 on target, 0.21 xG. FC Bayern München: 21 shots, 4 on target, 3.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Harry Kane · FC Bayern München · 20′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Köln 0.21 xG · FC Bayern München 3.91 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Köln
1Draws
3FC Bayern München
1. FC Köln — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–2
FC Bayern München — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Köln — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–4
FC Bayern München — 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Köln favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Köln12 matchesFC Bayern München12 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 3.58 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.2 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 3.06 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 19.9 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 8.33 shots/match
44.8%Possession12/12● 62.8%
5.67 corners/matchCorners12/12● 7.42 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1210 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Nov 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC KölnFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Köln — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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