Bundesliga · 2023Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 14:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

SV Werder Bremen

LLWDD

0–3Full-time recap

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

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This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	SV Werder Bremen	Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Shots	2 shots/match	14 shots/match▲
Shots on target	1 shots/match	4 shots/match▲
Expected goals	0.19 xG/match	1.03 xG/match▲
Possession	41%	59%●
Corners	1 corners/match	6 corners/match●
Fouls	15 fouls/match	4 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: SV Werder Bremen's last-five shots average is below their season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match▲ShotsSV Werder Bremen · Bayer 04 Leverkusen16.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	SV Werder Bremen	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	Baseline
Shots	10.8 shots/match	16.3 shots/match	12.8 shots/match
Shots against	15.8 shots/match	9.17 shots/match	14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

weak

SV Werder Bremen's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.6 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.6 shots/match	10.8 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a visible away split

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season16.3 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	13.2 shots/match	16.3 shots/match	12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0SV Werder Bremen

1Draws

1Bayer 04 Leverkusen

12 Mar 2023SV Werder Bremen — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–3

17 Sept 2022Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

SV Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 11 · 2 too close

1.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 12/12▲3.08 goals/match

2.08 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.83 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 12/12▲2.08 xG/match

1.8 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 12/12▲0.98 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 12/12▲16.3 shots/match

15.8 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 12/12▲9.17 shots/match

3.58 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 12/12▲7.42 shots/match

4.83 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 12/12▲3.75 shots/match

47.5%Possessionseason · 12/12●60.4%

3.08 corners/matchCornersseason · 12/12●6 corners/match

6.08 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 12/12▲3.5 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 12/129 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

17%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 12/12▲42%

67%Scoring frequencyseason · 12/12▲100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

SV Werder Bremen47.2

Bayer 04 Leverkusen91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

SV Werder Bremen20.4

Bayer 04 Leverkusen91.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

SV Werder Bremen39.8

Bayer 04 Leverkusen88

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

SV Werder Bremen8.3

Bayer 04 Leverkusen52.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

SV Werder Bremen80.6

Bayer 04 Leverkusen2.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

SV Werder Bremen2.8

Bayer 04 Leverkusen75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

SV Werder Bremen25

Bayer 04 Leverkusen65.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen12 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen12 matches

1.5 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲3.08 goals/match

2.08 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲0.83 goals/match

1.33 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲2.08 xG/match

10.8 shots/matchShots12/12▲16.3 shots/match

3.58 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲7.42 shots/match

47.5%Possession12/12●60.4%

3.08 corners/matchCorners12/12●6 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

13.3 fouls/matchFouls12/129 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

SV Werder Bremen7 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen6 matches

1.71 goals/matchGoals scored7/6▲2.67 goals/match

1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/6▲0.83 goals/match

1.25 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲1.66 xG/match

10.6 shots/matchShots7/6▲13.2 shots/match

3.71 shots/matchShots on target7/6▲5.83 shots/match

45.3%Possession7/6●55.3%

3 corners/matchCorners7/6●4.17 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

14 fouls/matchFouls7/68.83 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples12 / 12home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4