PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

SV Werder Bremen 0–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen won 0–3.

Shots
214
Shots on target
14
Expected goals
0.191.03
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bayer 04 Leverkusen beat SV Werder Bremen 3–0. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 2–14, shots on target 1–4, expected goals 0.19–1.03, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSV Werder Bremen · Bayer 04 Leverkusen16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against15.8 shots/match9.17 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

weak

SV Werder Bremen's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.6 shots/match10.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen have a visible away split

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.2 shots/match16.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots2 shots14 shotsSV Werder Bremen 2 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 14 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot4 shotsSV Werder Bremen 1 shot, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.19 xG1.03 xGSV Werder Bremen 0.19 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.03 xG
  • Possession41%59%SV Werder Bremen 41%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 59%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersSV Werder Bremen 1 corner, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls4 foulsSV Werder Bremen 15 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0SV Werder Bremen
1Draws
1Bayer 04 Leverkusen
SV Werder Bremen — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–3
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen12 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen12 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 3.08 goals/match
2.08 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.83 goals/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 2.08 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 16.3 shots/match
3.58 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 7.42 shots/match
47.5%Possession12/12● 60.4%
3.08 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6 corners/match
13.3 fouls/matchFouls12/129 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Nov 2023, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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