PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

TSG Hoffenheim 3–1 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

TSG Hoffenheim won 3–1.

Shots
1722
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.51.55
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

TSG Hoffenheim beat VfL Bochum 1848 3–1. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 17–22, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.5–1.55, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.07 goals/match1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible away split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.5 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots22 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 17 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 22 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 7 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.5 xG1.55 xGTSG Hoffenheim 1.5 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 1.55 xG
  • Possession42%58%TSG Hoffenheim 42%, VfL Bochum 1848 58%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 4 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 5 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls11 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 17 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim14 matchesVfL Bochum 184814 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/141.07 goals/match
1.71 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/142.07 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.37 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 15.4 shots/match
4.86 shots/matchShots on target14/144.79 shots/match
49.1% ●Possession14/1445.9%
4.07 corners/match ●Corners14/143.79 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 8 Dec 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG HoffenheimVfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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