Bundesliga · 2023Fri, 8 Dec 2023, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

TSG Hoffenheim

WLDDL

3–1Full-time recap

VfL Bochum 1848

DWDDW

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	TSG Hoffenheim	VfL Bochum 1848
Shots	17 shots/match	22 shots/match▲
Shots on target	7 shots/match▲	5 shots/match
Expected goals	1.5 xG/match	1.55 xG/match▲
Possession	42%	58%●
Corners	4 corners/match	5 corners/match●
Fouls	17 fouls/match	11 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: VfL Bochum 1848's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.07 goals/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Goals for	1.4 goals/match	1.07 goals/match	1.42 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible away split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.5 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season15.4 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	11.5 shots/match	15.4 shots/match	12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1TSG Hoffenheim

0Draws

3VfL Bochum 1848

4 Feb 2023VfL Bochum 1848 — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga5–2

13 Aug 2022TSG Hoffenheim — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga3–2

2 Apr 2022TSG Hoffenheim — VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga1–2

6 Nov 2021VfL Bochum 1848 — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

TSG Hoffenheim favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 2 · 6 too close

2 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 14/141.07 goals/match

1.71 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 14/142.07 goals/match

1.67 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 14/141.37 xG/match

1.75 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 14/141.82 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 14/14▲15.4 shots/match

15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 14/1415.6 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 14/144.79 shots/match

6.07 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 14/146.07 shots/match

49.1%●Possessionseason · 14/1445.9%

4.07 corners/match●Cornersseason · 14/143.79 corners/match

5.5 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 14/145.86 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

11 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 14/1413.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

7%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 14/14▲14%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 14/1471%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

TSG Hoffenheim58.3

VfL Bochum 184825

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

TSG Hoffenheim64.8

VfL Bochum 184852.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

TSG Hoffenheim40.7

VfL Bochum 184825.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

TSG Hoffenheim63.9

VfL Bochum 184897.2

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

TSG Hoffenheim36.1

VfL Bochum 184886.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

TSG Hoffenheim30.6

VfL Bochum 184813.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

TSG Hoffenheim48.6

VfL Bochum 184859.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim14 matchesVfL Bochum 184814 matches

2 goals/match▲Goals scored14/141.07 goals/match

1.71 goals/match▲Goals allowed14/142.07 goals/match

1.67 xG/match▲Expected goals14/141.37 xG/match

13.8 shots/matchShots14/14▲15.4 shots/match

4.86 shots/matchShots on target14/144.79 shots/match

49.1%●Possession14/1445.9%

4.07 corners/match●Corners14/143.79 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

11 fouls/matchFouls14/1413.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

TSG Hoffenheim7 matchesVfL Bochum 18488 matches

1.71 goals/match▲Goals scored7/80.75 goals/match

2 goals/match▲Goals allowed7/82.5 goals/match

1.64 xG/match▲Expected goals7/80.95 xG/match

15 shots/match▲Shots7/811.5 shots/match

4.86 shots/match▲Shots on target7/83.38 shots/match

48.6%●Possession7/844.6%

4.14 corners/match●Corners7/82.63 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

10.6 fouls/matchFouls7/812.3 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.21 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.21 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples14 / 14home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 8 Dec 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4