PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Heidenheim 3–2 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim won 3–2.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
1.891.85
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim beat SC Freiburg 3–2. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – SC Freiburg): shots 15–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 1.89–1.85, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for SC Freiburg.

4.21 days ▲Rest days1. FC Heidenheim · SC Freiburg3.21 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric1. FC HeidenheimSC FreiburgBaseline
Rest days4.21 days3.21 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible home split

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shots1. FC Heidenheim 15 shots, SC Freiburg 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shots1. FC Heidenheim 3 shots, SC Freiburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.89 xG1.85 xG1. FC Heidenheim 1.89 xG, SC Freiburg 1.85 xG
  • Possession52%48%1. FC Heidenheim 52%, SC Freiburg 48%
  • Corners7 corners4 corners1. FC Heidenheim 7 corners, SC Freiburg 4 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls12 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 20 fouls, SC Freiburg 12 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim16 matchesSC Freiburg16 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored16/161.31 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals16/16▲ 1.54 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots16/16▲ 12.6 shots/match
3.69 shots/matchShots on target16/16▲ 4.44 shots/match
41.7%Possession16/16● 47.3%
5.75 corners/match ●Corners16/164.31 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls16/1610.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 20 Dec 2023, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC HeidenheimSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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