PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

RB Leipzig 0–1 Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Eintracht Frankfurt won 0–1.

Shots
315
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
3.561.09
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Eintracht Frankfurt beat RB Leipzig 1–0. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – Eintracht Frankfurt): shots 31–5, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 3.56–1.09, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

RB Leipzig's recent record differs from the season

moderate

RB Leipzig's last-five shots average is above their season average.

23.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season17.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots23.8 shots/match17.2 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Eintracht Frankfurt show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

17.2 shots/match ▲ShotsRB Leipzig · Eintracht Frankfurt10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRB LeipzigEintracht FrankfurtBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against10.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match14.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Eintracht Frankfurt have a visible away split

moderate

Eintracht Frankfurt's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.78 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.78 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots31 shots5 shotsRB Leipzig 31 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 5 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotRB Leipzig 8 shots, Eintracht Frankfurt 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.56 xG1.09 xGRB Leipzig 3.56 xG, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.09 xG
  • Possession63%37%RB Leipzig 63%, Eintracht Frankfurt 37%
  • Corners15 corners4 cornersRB Leipzig 15 corners, Eintracht Frankfurt 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls16 foulsRB Leipzig 9 fouls, Eintracht Frankfurt 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Xavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 73′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDavid Raum · RB Leipzig · 1′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 39′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDani Olmo · RB Leipzig · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 15′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 37′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNiels Nkounkou · Eintracht Frankfurt · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 63′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAurélio Buta · Eintracht Frankfurt · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEric Ebimbe · Eintracht Frankfurt · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 35′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCastello Lukeba · RB Leipzig · 89′ · 0.05 xG · on targetBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYussuf Poulsen · RB Leipzig · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Henrichs · RB Leipzig · 70′ · 0.08 xG · on targetXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 60′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 65′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMohamed Simakan · RB Leipzig · 83′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLukas Klostermann · RB Leipzig · 21′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 31′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · RB Leipzig · 73′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 90′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Simakan · RB Leipzig · 10′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 61′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Baumgartner · RB Leipzig · 19′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Simakan · RB Leipzig · 74′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Simakan · RB Leipzig · 71′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Simakan · RB Leipzig · 62′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 17′ · 0.31 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 87′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 47′ · 0.33 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 38′ · 0.38 xG · on targetAnsgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 7′ · 0.42 xG · goalMario Götze · Eintracht Frankfurt · 57′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RB Leipzig: 31 shots, 8 on target, 3.57 xG. Eintracht Frankfurt: 5 shots, 1 on target, 1.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0240′HT90′Ansgar Knauff · Eintracht Frankfurt · 7′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RB Leipzig 3.57 xG · Eintracht Frankfurt 1.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RB Leipzig
2Draws
1Eintracht Frankfurt
RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga2–1
Eintracht Frankfurt — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga4–0
RB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga0–0
Eintracht Frankfurt — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Eintracht Frankfurt in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig17 matchesEintracht Frankfurt17 matches
2.24 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.59 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.18 goals/match
2.13 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/171.37 xG/match
17.2 shots/match ▲Shots17/1710.6 shots/match
7.06 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/174 shots/match
58.1% ●Possession17/1751.4%
6.65 corners/match ●Corners17/174.24 corners/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1711.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 Jan 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRB LeipzigEintracht Frankfurt
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headRB Leipzig — Eintracht Frankfurt
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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