PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia M'gladbach 1–2 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 1–2.

Shots
1815
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
2.141.33
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat Borussia M'gladbach 2–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia M'gladbach – FC Augsburg): shots 18–15, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 2.14–1.33, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.44 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.44 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots15 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 18 shots, FC Augsburg 15 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 4 shots, FC Augsburg 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.14 xG1.33 xGBorussia M'gladbach 2.14 xG, FC Augsburg 1.33 xG
  • Possession55%45%Borussia M'gladbach 55%, FC Augsburg 45%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 5 corners, FC Augsburg 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls20 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 10 fouls, FC Augsburg 20 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Robin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 34′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 9′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFredrik Jensen · FC Augsburg · 11′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Uduokhai · FC Augsburg · 35′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIago Borduchi · FC Augsburg · 75′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMarvin Friedrich · Borussia M'gladbach · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNico Elvedi · Borussia M'gladbach · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 28′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLuca Netz · Borussia M'gladbach · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 75′ · 0.06 xG · on targetJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 45′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 12′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedNico Elvedi · Borussia M'gladbach · 82′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 54′ · 0.14 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 10′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 51′ · 0.27 xG · goalPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 47′ · 0.29 xG · goalJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 26′ · 0.54 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 26′ · 0.90 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia M'gladbach: 18 shots, 4 on target, 2.17 xG. FC Augsburg: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.28 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Jordan Siebatcheu · Borussia M'gladbach · 26′Phillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 47′Arne Engels · FC Augsburg · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia M'gladbach 2.17 xG · FC Augsburg 1.28 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Borussia M'gladbach
1Draws
2FC Augsburg
FC Augsburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–4
Borussia M'gladbach — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–0
FC Augsburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–0
Borussia M'gladbach — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–2
FC Augsburg — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach18 matchesFC Augsburg18 matches
1.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.44 goals/match
2.11 goals/matchGoals allowed18/18▲ 1.83 goals/match
1.53 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/181.35 xG/match
12.9 shots/match ▲Shots18/1811.8 shots/match
4.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/183.72 shots/match
46.9% ●Possession18/1840.6%
5.39 corners/match ●Corners18/183.83 corners/match
9.5 fouls/matchFouls18/1812.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Jan 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachFC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — FC Augsburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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