PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

VfL Bochum 1848 1–1 FC Augsburg · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Bochum 1848 and FC Augsburg drew 1–1.

Shots
1014
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.931.71
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Bochum 1848 and FC Augsburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – FC Augsburg): shots 10–14, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.93–1.71, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848's recent record differs from the season

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9.4 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible home split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.5 shots/match14.2 shots/match12.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13.8 fouls/matchFoulsVfL Bochum 1848 · FC Augsburg12.7 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 1848FC AugsburgBaseline
Fouls13.8 fouls/match12.7 fouls/match11.4 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots14 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 10 shots, FC Augsburg 14 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 4 shots, FC Augsburg 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG1.71 xGVfL Bochum 1848 0.93 xG, FC Augsburg 1.71 xG
  • Possession49%51%VfL Bochum 1848 49%, FC Augsburg 51%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 3 corners, FC Augsburg 5 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls14 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 17 fouls, FC Augsburg 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kevin Stöger · VfL Bochum 1848 · 39′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedArne Maier · FC Augsburg · 86′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIago Borduchi · FC Augsburg · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTim Oermann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Osterhage · VfL Bochum 1848 · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIago Borduchi · FC Augsburg · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 52′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMads Pedersen · FC Augsburg · 83′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Osterhage · VfL Bochum 1848 · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Antwi-Adjei · VfL Bochum 1848 · 16′ · 0.07 xG · on targetIago Borduchi · FC Augsburg · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 59′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedArne Maier · FC Augsburg · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 50′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 51′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 75′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 86′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 33′ · 0.13 xG · goalRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 61′ · 0.16 xG · on targetMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 76′ · 0.36 xG · on targetErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 10 shots, 4 on target, 0.94 xG. FC Augsburg: 14 shots, 3 on target, 1.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Moritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 33′Ermedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 0.94 xG · FC Augsburg 1.75 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 184820 matchesFC Augsburg20 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.9 goals/matchGoals allowed20/201.85 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.43 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots20/2012.1 shots/match
4.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/203.85 shots/match
44.7% ●Possession20/2041.1%
3.65 corners/matchCorners20/20● 3.9 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls20/2012.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 3 Feb 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 1848FC Augsburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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