PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 3–1 VfL Bochum 1848 · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 3–1.

Shots
1911
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
2.960.51
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat VfL Bochum 1848 3–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – VfL Bochum 1848): shots 19–11, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 2.96–0.51, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfL Bochum 1848 have a visible away split

moderate

VfL Bochum 1848's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia Dortmund's last-five shots average is above their season average.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match15.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · VfL Bochum 184814.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundVfL Bochum 1848Baseline
Shots15.6 shots/match14.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match15.6 shots/match14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots11 shotsBorussia Dortmund 19 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsBorussia Dortmund 6 shots, VfL Bochum 1848 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.96 xG0.51 xGBorussia Dortmund 2.96 xG, VfL Bochum 1848 0.51 xG
  • Possession64%36%Borussia Dortmund 64%, VfL Bochum 1848 36%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersBorussia Dortmund 8 corners, VfL Bochum 1848 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls17 foulsBorussia Dortmund 10 fouls, VfL Bochum 1848 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · VfL Bochum 1848 in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund19 matchesVfL Bochum 184819 matches
2.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.11 goals/match
1.37 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.95 goals/match
2.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.29 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots19/1914.4 shots/match
5.42 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194.42 shots/match
56.6% ●Possession19/1944.4%
4.84 corners/match ●Corners19/193.68 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Jan 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundVfL Bochum 1848
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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