PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Union Berlin 1–0 Darmstadt 98 · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 1–0.

Shots
2116
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.551.14
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin beat Darmstadt 98 1–0. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – Darmstadt 98): shots 21–16, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.55–1.14, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for 1. FC Union Berlin.

3.79 days ▲Rest days1. FC Union Berlin · Darmstadt 988 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric1. FC Union BerlinDarmstadt 98Baseline
Rest days3.79 days8 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots16 shots1. FC Union Berlin 21 shots, Darmstadt 98 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shot1. FC Union Berlin 6 shots, Darmstadt 98 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.55 xG1.14 xG1. FC Union Berlin 2.55 xG, Darmstadt 98 1.14 xG
  • Possession50%50%1. FC Union Berlin 50%, Darmstadt 98 50%
  • Corners4 corners3 corners1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners, Darmstadt 98 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls9 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 13 fouls, Darmstadt 98 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Tim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 5′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 48′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 25′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFabian Holland · Darmstadt 98 · 64′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLuca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGerrit Holtmann · Darmstadt 98 · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Justvan · Darmstadt 98 · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatthias Bader · Darmstadt 98 · 26′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 68′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 34′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJulian Justvan · Darmstadt 98 · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobin Gosens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBartol Franjić · Darmstadt 98 · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDiogo Leite · 1. FC Union Berlin · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlex Král · 1. FC Union Berlin · 81′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Klarer · Darmstadt 98 · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Trimmel · 1. FC Union Berlin · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKlaus Gjasula · Darmstadt 98 · 78′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMatthias Bader · Darmstadt 98 · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 59′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRobin Knoche · 1. FC Union Berlin · 48′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMikkel Kaufmann · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 84′ · 0.11 xG · on targetBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 69′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 3′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 18′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedBartol Franjić · Darmstadt 98 · 37′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Zimmermann · Darmstadt 98 · 82′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 35′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 72′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 62′ · 0.32 xG · goalKevin Behrens · 1. FC Union Berlin · 76′ · 0.44 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 48′ · 0.46 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 21 shots, 6 on target, 2.59 xG. Darmstadt 98: 16 shots, 1 on target, 1.16 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Benedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 62′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 2.59 xG · Darmstadt 98 1.16 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Union Berlin
0Draws
0Darmstadt 98
Darmstadt 98 — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–4

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Darmstadt 98 in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin18 matchesDarmstadt 9819 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored18/19▲ 1.16 goals/match
1.78 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/192.47 goals/match
1.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/191.05 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots18/19▲ 12.8 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/193.42 shots/match
43.3%Possession18/19● 49.2%
4.67 corners/match ●Corners18/193.58 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls18/1913.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Jan 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinDarmstadt 98
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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