PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

TSG Hoffenheim 0–1 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 0–1.

Shots
1810
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.021.41
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin beat TSG Hoffenheim 1–0. Recorded in this match (TSG Hoffenheim – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 18–10, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.02–1.41, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

TSG Hoffenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

TSG Hoffenheim's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.41 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for 1. FC Union Berlin.

5.92 days ▲Rest daysTSG Hoffenheim · 1. FC Union Berlin7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricTSG Hoffenheim1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Rest days5.92 days7 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots10 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 18 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsTSG Hoffenheim 4 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.02 xG1.41 xGTSG Hoffenheim 1.02 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 1.41 xG
  • Possession67%33%TSG Hoffenheim 67%, 1. FC Union Berlin 33%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersTSG Hoffenheim 6 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsTSG Hoffenheim 10 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 11′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Grillitsch · TSG Hoffenheim · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetIhlas Bebou · TSG Hoffenheim · 63′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOzan Kabak · TSG Hoffenheim · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRobert Skov · TSG Hoffenheim · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 68′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 22′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 50′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAnton Stach · TSG Hoffenheim · 55′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 77′ · 0.04 xG · on targetWout Weghorst · TSG Hoffenheim · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRobert Skov · TSG Hoffenheim · 54′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAissa Laïdouni · 1. FC Union Berlin · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 71′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 53′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJosip Juranović · 1. FC Union Berlin · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · TSG Hoffenheim · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAissa Laïdouni · 1. FC Union Berlin · 24′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Beier · TSG Hoffenheim · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedIhlas Bebou · TSG Hoffenheim · 2′ · 0.14 xG · on targetIhlas Bebou · TSG Hoffenheim · 2′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedAndrej Kramarić · TSG Hoffenheim · 2′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 89′ · 0.25 xG · on targetBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 18′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedBrenden Aaronson · 1. FC Union Berlin · 84′ · 0.44 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

TSG Hoffenheim: 18 shots, 4 on target, 1.07 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 10 shots, 3 on target, 1.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Brenden Aaronson · 1. FC Union Berlin · 84′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: TSG Hoffenheim 1.07 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 1.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2TSG Hoffenheim
1Draws
21. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga0–2
TSG Hoffenheim — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga4–2
1. FC Union Berlin — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga3–1
1. FC Union Berlin — TSG Hoffenheim · Bundesliga2–1
TSG Hoffenheim — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: TSG Hoffenheim favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

TSG Hoffenheim22 matches1. FC Union Berlin22 matches
1.73 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/220.95 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed22/22▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.69 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.15 xG/match
14.1 shots/match ▲Shots22/2211.8 shots/match
4.77 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224 shots/match
50.8% ●Possession22/2242.9%
4.45 corners/matchCorners22/22● 4.5 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 17 Feb 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsTSG Hoffenheim1. FC Union Berlin
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headTSG Hoffenheim — 1. FC Union Berlin
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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