PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

FC Bayern München 0–2 Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 0–2.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.530.88
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat FC Bayern München 2–0. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – Borussia Dortmund): shots 17–11, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.53–0.88, possession 61%–39%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Bayern München show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Bayern München's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

20 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Bayern München · Borussia Dortmund15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots20 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against9.74 shots/match13.8 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible away split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match15.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Bayern München's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Bayern München's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3.4 goals/match2.89 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsFC Bayern München 17 shots, Borussia Dortmund 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsFC Bayern München 2 shots, Borussia Dortmund 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.53 xG0.88 xGFC Bayern München 1.53 xG, Borussia Dortmund 0.88 xG
  • Possession61%39%FC Bayern München 61%, Borussia Dortmund 39%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersFC Bayern München 7 corners, Borussia Dortmund 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls7 foulsFC Bayern München 7 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Thomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 35′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 30′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Brandt · Borussia Dortmund · 44′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 50′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 75′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKonrad Laimer · FC Bayern München · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMats Hummels · Borussia Dortmund · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEric Dier · FC Bayern München · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIan Maatsen · Borussia Dortmund · 65′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 34′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 60′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 28′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMats Hummels · Borussia Dortmund · 18′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 67′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 67′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 83′ · 0.11 xG · goalEric Dier · FC Bayern München · 35′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 4′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKarim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 10′ · 0.20 xG · goalFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 52′ · 0.25 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 7′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 23′ · 0.37 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 17 shots, 1 on target, 1.54 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 11 shots, 5 on target, 0.86 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Karim Adeyemi · Borussia Dortmund · 10′Julian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 83′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 1.54 xG · Borussia Dortmund 0.86 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4FC Bayern München
1Draws
0Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–4
FC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga4–2
Borussia Dortmund — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–2
FC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–1
Borussia Dortmund — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 0 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München27 matchesBorussia Dortmund27 matches
2.89 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/272.04 goals/match
1.22 goals/matchGoals allowed27/271.19 goals/match
2.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.91 xG/match
20 shots/match ▲Shots27/2715.3 shots/match
7.44 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/275.63 shots/match
62.1% ●Possession27/2758%
7.52 corners/match ●Corners27/275.15 corners/match
9.41 fouls/matchFouls27/279.44 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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