PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 drew 0–0.

Shots
208
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
2.750.92
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

RB Leipzig and 1. FSV Mainz 05 drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (RB Leipzig – 1. FSV Mainz 05): shots 20–8, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 2.75–0.92, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FSV Mainz 05's recent record differs from the season

weak

1. FSV Mainz 05's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.81 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.81 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.22 corners/match ●CornersRB Leipzig · 1. FSV Mainz 055.41 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricRB Leipzig1. FSV Mainz 05Baseline
Corners6.22 corners/match5.41 corners/match4.68 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

RB Leipzig have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.2% ●PossessionRB Leipzig · 1. FSV Mainz 0545.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricRB Leipzig1. FSV Mainz 05Baseline
Possession57.2%45.6%47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots8 shotsRB Leipzig 20 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 8 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsRB Leipzig 10 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.75 xG0.92 xGRB Leipzig 2.75 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.92 xG
  • Possession67%33%RB Leipzig 67%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 33%
  • Corners12 corners2 cornersRB Leipzig 12 corners, 1. FSV Mainz 05 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsRB Leipzig 10 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Xavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 6′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedXaver Schlager · RB Leipzig · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLudovic Ajorque · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 47′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKevin Kampl · RB Leipzig · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedXavi Simons · RB Leipzig · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 1′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 33′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSepp van den Berg · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNadiem Amiri · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 87′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSilvan Widmer · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 76′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCastello Lukeba · RB Leipzig · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 58′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedXaver Schlager · RB Leipzig · 89′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · RB Leipzig · 18′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDani Olmo · RB Leipzig · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSepp van den Berg · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 85′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · RB Leipzig · 55′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDani Olmo · RB Leipzig · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedXaver Schlager · RB Leipzig · 45′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDani Olmo · RB Leipzig · 59′ · 0.23 xG · on targetLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 36′ · 0.38 xG · on targetLoïs Openda · RB Leipzig · 51′ · 0.39 xG · on targetDani Olmo · RB Leipzig · 86′ · 0.46 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Šeško · RB Leipzig · 86′ · 0.49 xG · on targetLeandro Barreiro · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 88′ · 0.71 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

RB Leipzig: 20 shots, 9 on target, 2.76 xG. 1. FSV Mainz 05: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: RB Leipzig 2.76 xG · 1. FSV Mainz 05 0.95 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1RB Leipzig
1Draws
31. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05 — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga2–0
RB Leipzig — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga0–3
1. FSV Mainz 05 — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–1
RB Leipzig — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga4–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — RB Leipzig · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: RB Leipzig favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

RB Leipzig27 matches1. FSV Mainz 0527 matches
2.22 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/270.81 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.7 goals/match
2.04 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.16 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots27/2713.7 shots/match
6.89 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.85 shots/match
57.2% ●Possession27/2745.6%
6.22 corners/match ●Corners27/275.41 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsRB Leipzig1. FSV Mainz 05
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headRB Leipzig — 1. FSV Mainz 05
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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