PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

SV Werder Bremen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 2–1.

Shots
915
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.542.22
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat VfB Stuttgart 2–1. Recorded in this match (SV Werder Bremen – VfB Stuttgart): shots 9–15, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.54–2.22, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SV Werder Bremen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.27 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.27 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SV Werder Bremen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SV Werder Bremen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsSV Werder Bremen · VfB Stuttgart15.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenVfB StuttgartBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against15.5 shots/match11 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

46.4%PossessionSV Werder Bremen · VfB Stuttgart● 60%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSV Werder BremenVfB StuttgartBaseline
Possession46.4%60%46.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots15 shotsSV Werder Bremen 9 shots, VfB Stuttgart 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsSV Werder Bremen 2 shots, VfB Stuttgart 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG2.22 xGSV Werder Bremen 1.54 xG, VfB Stuttgart 2.22 xG
  • Possession31%69%SV Werder Bremen 31%, VfB Stuttgart 69%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersSV Werder Bremen 1 corner, VfB Stuttgart 7 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 foulsSV Werder Bremen 11 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 29′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMahmoud Dahoud · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 10′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 62′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 70′ · 0.02 xG · on targetPascal Stenzel · VfB Stuttgart · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · SV Werder Bremen · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 23′ · 0.06 xG · on targetSenne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 64′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 49′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · SV Werder Bremen · 48′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 76′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedHiroki Itō · VfB Stuttgart · 74′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 44′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedAngelo Stiller · VfB Stuttgart · 68′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · VfB Stuttgart · 71′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 5′ · 0.31 xG · on targetMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 49′ · 0.42 xG · goalDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 71′ · 0.62 xG · goalMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 28′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

SV Werder Bremen: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.57 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 15 shots, 5 on target, 2.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 28′Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 49′Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: SV Werder Bremen 1.57 xG · VfB Stuttgart 2.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1SV Werder Bremen
1Draws
1VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–0
VfB Stuttgart — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga0–2
SV Werder Bremen — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: SV Werder Bremen favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

SV Werder Bremen30 matchesVfB Stuttgart30 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 2.27 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 2.16 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 15.4 shots/match
3.53 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 6.23 shots/match
46.4%Possession30/30● 60%
3.27 corners/matchCorners30/30● 4.93 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls30/309.53 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Apr 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSV Werder BremenVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headSV Werder Bremen — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required