PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

FC Augsburg 0–3 SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

SV Werder Bremen won 0–3.

Shots
1315
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.592.03
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

SV Werder Bremen beat FC Augsburg 3–0. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – SV Werder Bremen): shots 13–15, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.59–2.03, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.55 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots15 shotsFC Augsburg 13 shots, SV Werder Bremen 15 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsFC Augsburg 1 shot, SV Werder Bremen 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.59 xG2.03 xGFC Augsburg 0.59 xG, SV Werder Bremen 2.03 xG
  • Possession54%46%FC Augsburg 54%, SV Werder Bremen 46%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersFC Augsburg 6 corners, SV Werder Bremen 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls8 foulsFC Augsburg 18 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Senne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 77′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDion Drena Beljo · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 19′ · 0.02 xG · on targetArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 43′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNick Woltemade · SV Werder Bremen · 3′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 13′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArne Maier · FC Augsburg · 31′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSven Michel · FC Augsburg · 69′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJeffrey Gouweleeuw · FC Augsburg · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArne Engels · FC Augsburg · 21′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 28′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 43′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPatric Pfeiffer · FC Augsburg · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristian Groß · SV Werder Bremen · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 9′ · 0.07 xG · on targetNick Woltemade · SV Werder Bremen · 75′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · FC Augsburg · 88′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 39′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLeonardo Bittencourt · SV Werder Bremen · 57′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedPatric Pfeiffer · FC Augsburg · 70′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOlivier Deman · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.09 xG · goalPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 44′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 72′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 90′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedRomano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 52′ · 0.34 xG · goalMarvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 61′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 13 shots, 1 on target, 0.60 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.09 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Romano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 52′Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 61′Olivier Deman · SV Werder Bremen · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 0.60 xG · SV Werder Bremen 2.09 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Augsburg
0Draws
1SV Werder Bremen
SV Werder Bremen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga2–0
FC Augsburg — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga2–1
SV Werder Bremen — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg31 matchesSV Werder Bremen31 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored31/311.32 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed31/311.61 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals31/311.34 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots31/3111.5 shots/match
4.06 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/313.61 shots/match
44.6%Possession31/31● 46.4%
4.74 corners/match ●Corners31/313.29 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls31/3112 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Apr 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC AugsburgSV Werder Bremen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headFC Augsburg — SV Werder Bremen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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