PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 1–1.

Shots
813
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
0.491.14
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund and Bayer 04 Leverkusen drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – Bayer 04 Leverkusen): shots 8–13, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 0.49–1.14, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · Bayer 04 Leverkusen18.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundBayer 04 LeverkusenBaseline
Shots15 shots/match18.2 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against13.8 shots/match8.33 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Borussia Dortmund's recent record differs from the season

weak

Borussia Dortmund's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.93 goals/match1.48 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible home split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.5 shots/match15 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots13 shotsBorussia Dortmund 8 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsBorussia Dortmund 2 shots, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.49 xG1.14 xGBorussia Dortmund 0.49 xG, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.14 xG
  • Possession48%52%Borussia Dortmund 48%, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 52%
  • Corners2 corners6 cornersBorussia Dortmund 2 corners, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 6 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls11 foulsBorussia Dortmund 14 fouls, Bayer 04 Leverkusen 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 1′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 55′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJonas Hofmann · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 57′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJulian Ryerson · Borussia Dortmund · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 38′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlejandro Grimaldo · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 21′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 42′ · 0.07 xG · on targetJosip Stanišić · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′ · 0.08 xG · goalMarius Wolf · Borussia Dortmund · 51′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEmre Can · Borussia Dortmund · 46′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedNiclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 81′ · 0.12 xG · goalJeremie Frimpong · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 8′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedNathan Tella · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 68′ · 0.47 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.50 xG. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.17 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Niclas Füllkrug · Borussia Dortmund · 81′Josip Stanišić · Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 0.50 xG · Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1.17 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Borussia Dortmund
1Draws
1Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–2
Borussia Dortmund — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga1–0
Borussia Dortmund — Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Bundesliga2–5
Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Bayer 04 Leverkusen in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund30 matchesBayer 04 Leverkusen30 matches
1.93 goals/matchGoals scored30/30▲ 2.5 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed30/30▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.86 xG/matchExpected goals30/30▲ 2.13 xG/match
15 shots/matchShots30/30▲ 18.2 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target30/30▲ 7 shots/match
57.3%Possession30/30● 62.7%
5.1 corners/matchCorners30/30● 7.17 corners/match
9.6 fouls/matchFouls30/309.17 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples30 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Apr 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundBayer 04 Leverkusen
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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