PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

Borussia Dortmund 4–2 Atlético Madrid · UEFA Champions League

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 4–2.

Shots
1910
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
1.481.89
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat Atlético Madrid 4–2. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – Atlético Madrid): shots 19–10, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 1.48–1.89, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Madrid's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Madrid's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season2.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match2.3 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Atlético Madrid have a visible away split

moderate

Atlético Madrid's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots10 shotsBorussia Dortmund 19 shots, Atlético Madrid 10 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsBorussia Dortmund 9 shots, Atlético Madrid 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.48 xG1.89 xGBorussia Dortmund 1.48 xG, Atlético Madrid 1.89 xG
  • Possession52%48%Borussia Dortmund 52%, Atlético Madrid 48%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersBorussia Dortmund 6 corners, Atlético Madrid 2 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsBorussia Dortmund 9 fouls, Atlético Madrid 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Borussia Dortmund
0Draws
1Atlético Madrid
Atlético Madrid — Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Madrid in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund10 matchesAtlético Madrid10 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 2.3 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.69 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots10/1013.7 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target10/105.3 shots/match
47.5%Possession10/10● 49%
5.7 corners/match ●Corners10/104.9 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 16 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundAtlético Madrid
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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