PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2023

Barcelona 1–4 Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League

1–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Paris Saint-Germain won 1–4.

Shots
721
Shots on target
39
Expected goals
1.082.47
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris Saint-Germain beat Barcelona 4–1. Recorded in this match (Barcelona – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 7–21, shots on target 3–9, expected goals 1.08–2.47, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Barcelona have a visible home split

moderate

Barcelona's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

18.6 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots18.6 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Paris Saint-Germain's recent record differs from the season

weak

Paris Saint-Germain's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.9 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.9 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Paris Saint-Germain show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Paris Saint-Germain's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBarcelona · Paris Saint-Germain17 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBarcelonaParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match17 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match11.3 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots21 shotsBarcelona 7 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 21 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots9 shotsBarcelona 3 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.08 xG2.47 xGBarcelona 1.08 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 2.47 xG
  • Possession33%67%Barcelona 33%, Paris Saint-Germain 67%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersBarcelona 3 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 9 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsBarcelona 10 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 17′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAchraf Hakimi · Paris Saint-Germain · 49′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 79′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 6′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 27′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBradley Barcola · Paris Saint-Germain · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 54′ · 0.04 xG · goalOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 32′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 28′ · 0.06 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetVitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 43′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 73′ · 0.07 xG · on targetRobert Lewandowski · Barcelona · 88′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 40′ · 0.10 xG · goalİlkay Gündoğan · Barcelona · 56′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′ · 0.10 xG · on targetKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 28′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 52′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRaphinha · Barcelona · 78′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′ · 0.33 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′ · 0.36 xG · on targetRaphinha · Barcelona · 12′ · 0.54 xG · goalKylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 61′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Barcelona: 7 shots, 3 on target, 1.04 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 21 shots, 9 on target, 2.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Raphinha · Barcelona · 12′Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 40′Vitinha · Paris Saint-Germain · 54′Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 61′Kylian Mbappé · Paris Saint-Germain · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Barcelona 1.04 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 2.54 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Barcelona
0Draws
0Paris Saint-Germain
Paris Saint-Germain — Barcelona · UEFA Champions League2–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Barcelona favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Barcelona10 matchesParis Saint-Germain10 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.9 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed10/10▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.73 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.99 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 17 shots/match
5.7 shots/matchShots on target10/105.9 shots/match
54.6%Possession10/10● 64.7%
5.5 corners/matchCorners10/10● 7.3 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls10/1012 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 16 Apr 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBarcelonaParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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