PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

Darmstadt 98 0–1 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim won 0–1.

Shots
1117
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.731.59
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim beat Darmstadt 98 1–0. Recorded in this match (Darmstadt 98 – 1. FC Heidenheim): shots 11–17, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.73–1.59, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Heidenheim's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.42 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.42 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible away split

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.44 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.44 shots/match11.5 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

12.8 fouls/matchFoulsDarmstadt 98 · 1. FC Heidenheim13.4 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricDarmstadt 981. FC HeidenheimBaseline
Fouls12.8 fouls/match13.4 fouls/match11.2 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots17 shotsDarmstadt 98 11 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 17 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsDarmstadt 98 3 shots, 1. FC Heidenheim 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG1.59 xGDarmstadt 98 0.73 xG, 1. FC Heidenheim 1.59 xG
  • Possession46%54%Darmstadt 98 46%, 1. FC Heidenheim 54%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersDarmstadt 98 3 corners, 1. FC Heidenheim 8 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsDarmstadt 98 14 fouls, 1. FC Heidenheim 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kevin Sessa · 1. FC Heidenheim · 45′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 42′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedChristoph Zimmermann · Darmstadt 98 · 46′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJulian Justvan · Darmstadt 98 · 85′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 46′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 58′ · 0.03 xG · on targetEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 71′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTim Skarke · Darmstadt 98 · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabian Nürnberger · Darmstadt 98 · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNorman Theuerkauf · 1. FC Heidenheim · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKevin Sessa · 1. FC Heidenheim · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 58′ · 0.04 xG · on targetFabian Nürnberger · Darmstadt 98 · 66′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJonas Föhrenbach · 1. FC Heidenheim · 73′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 26′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBenedikt Gimber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFabian Nürnberger · Darmstadt 98 · 27′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 72′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 16′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 17′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedPatrick Mainka · 1. FC Heidenheim · 55′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEmir Karić · Darmstadt 98 · 30′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMarvin Pieringer · 1. FC Heidenheim · 37′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMathias Honsak · Darmstadt 98 · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLuca Pfeiffer · Darmstadt 98 · 76′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedOscar Vilhelmsson · Darmstadt 98 · 75′ · 0.14 xG · on targetEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 9′ · 0.20 xG · on targetNikola Dovedan · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.59 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Darmstadt 98: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.72 xG. 1. FC Heidenheim: 17 shots, 5 on target, 1.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Nikola Dovedan · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Darmstadt 98 0.72 xG · 1. FC Heidenheim 1.57 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Darmstadt 98
1Draws
31. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Heidenheim — Darmstadt 98 · Bundesliga3–2
1. FC Heidenheim — Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga1–0
Darmstadt 98 — 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga2–2
Darmstadt 98 — 1. FC Heidenheim · 2. Bundesliga3–2
1. FC Heidenheim — Darmstadt 98 · 2. Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Darmstadt 98 favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Heidenheim in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Darmstadt 9831 matches1. FC Heidenheim31 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored31/31▲ 1.42 goals/match
2.35 goals/matchGoals allowed31/31▲ 1.68 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals31/31▲ 1.2 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots31/3111.5 shots/match
3.68 shots/match ▲Shots on target31/313.32 shots/match
46.4% ●Possession31/3141.6%
3.48 corners/matchCorners31/31● 5.42 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls31/3113.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples31 / 31home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Apr 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDarmstadt 981. FC Heidenheim
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-headDarmstadt 98 — 1. FC Heidenheim
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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