PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Heidenheim 4–1 1. FC Köln · Bundesliga

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Heidenheim won 4–1.

Shots
1622
Shots on target
89
Expected goals
1.012.29
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Heidenheim beat 1. FC Köln 4–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Heidenheim – 1. FC Köln): shots 16–22, shots on target 8–9, expected goals 1.01–2.29, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Köln's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Köln's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match13.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

1. FC Heidenheim have a visible home split

moderate

1. FC Heidenheim's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.38 corners/matchCorners1. FC Heidenheim · 1. FC Köln● 5.53 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Heidenheim1. FC KölnBaseline
Corners5.38 corners/match5.53 corners/match4.87 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots22 shots1. FC Heidenheim 16 shots, 1. FC Köln 22 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots9 shots1. FC Heidenheim 8 shots, 1. FC Köln 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.01 xG2.29 xG1. FC Heidenheim 1.01 xG, 1. FC Köln 2.29 xG
  • Possession48%52%1. FC Heidenheim 48%, 1. FC Köln 52%
  • Corners5 corners12 corners1. FC Heidenheim 5 corners, 1. FC Köln 12 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls20 fouls1. FC Heidenheim 9 fouls, 1. FC Köln 20 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Omar Haktab Traore · 1. FC Heidenheim · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTimo Hübers · 1. FC Köln · 50′ · 0.01 xG · on targetDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 84′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKevin Sessa · 1. FC Heidenheim · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 78′ · 0.02 xG · goalDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetKevin Sessa · 1. FC Heidenheim · 36′ · 0.03 xG · goalKevin Sessa · 1. FC Heidenheim · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKevin Sessa · 1. FC Heidenheim · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFlorian Pick · 1. FC Heidenheim · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetLinton Maina · 1. FC Köln · 10′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJan Uwe Thielmann · 1. FC Köln · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDejan Ljubičić · 1. FC Köln · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 13′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMark Uth · 1. FC Köln · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRasmus Carstensen · 1. FC Köln · 77′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDamion Downs · 1. FC Köln · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJeff Chabot · 1. FC Köln · 88′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 16′ · 0.07 xG · goalTimo Hübers · 1. FC Köln · 64′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 42′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFlorian Dietz · 1. FC Köln · 77′ · 0.08 xG · on targetFlorian Dietz · 1. FC Köln · 80′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSteffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 84′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBenedikt Gimber · 1. FC Heidenheim · 32′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 12′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedEric Martel · 1. FC Köln · 74′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMark Uth · 1. FC Köln · 74′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedEren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 22′ · 0.19 xG · goalTim Kleindienst · 1. FC Heidenheim · 70′ · 0.19 xG · on targetMark Uth · 1. FC Köln · 69′ · 0.24 xG · on targetSteffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 64′ · 0.92 xG · off target or blockedSteffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 64′ · 0.95 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Heidenheim: 16 shots, 8 on target, 1.02 xG. 1. FC Köln: 22 shots, 9 on target, 3.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Eren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 16′Eren Dinkçi · 1. FC Heidenheim · 22′Kevin Sessa · 1. FC Heidenheim · 36′Jan-Niklas Beste · 1. FC Heidenheim · 78′Steffen Tigges · 1. FC Köln · 64′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Heidenheim 1.02 xG · 1. FC Köln 3.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

01. FC Heidenheim
1Draws
01. FC Köln
1. FC Köln — 1. FC Heidenheim · Bundesliga1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Heidenheim favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Köln in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Heidenheim34 matches1. FC Köln34 matches
1.47 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/340.82 goals/match
1.62 goals/match ▲Goals allowed34/341.76 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals34/341.18 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots34/34▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 4.44 shots/match
42%Possession34/34● 46.4%
5.38 corners/matchCorners34/34● 5.53 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls34/3412.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 May 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Köln
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required