PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2023

1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 SC Freiburg · Bundesliga

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FC Union Berlin won 2–1.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
2.310.98
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FC Union Berlin beat SC Freiburg 2–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – SC Freiburg): shots 13–13, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.31–0.98, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.47 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

SC Freiburg have a visible away split

moderate

SC Freiburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.06 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.06 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shots1. FC Union Berlin 13 shots, SC Freiburg 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shots1. FC Union Berlin 5 shots, SC Freiburg 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.31 xG0.98 xG1. FC Union Berlin 2.31 xG, SC Freiburg 0.98 xG
  • Possession37%63%1. FC Union Berlin 37%, SC Freiburg 63%
  • Corners3 corners7 corners1. FC Union Berlin 3 corners, SC Freiburg 7 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 14 fouls, SC Freiburg 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Yorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 3′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 15′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBrenden Aaronson · 1. FC Union Berlin · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 80′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVincenzo Grifo · SC Freiburg · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoland Sallai · SC Freiburg · 17′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLukas Kübler · SC Freiburg · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFlorent Muslija · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLucas Tousart · 1. FC Union Berlin · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBrenden Aaronson · 1. FC Union Berlin · 24′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAndrás Schäfer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedYorbe Vertessen · 1. FC Union Berlin · 41′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 68′ · 0.08 xG · goalRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRitsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 85′ · 0.09 xG · goalMichael Gregoritsch · SC Freiburg · 73′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Eggestein · SC Freiburg · 10′ · 0.16 xG · on targetRoland Sallai · SC Freiburg · 51′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedJanik Haberer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.16 xG · goalBenedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 83′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedJosip Juranović · 1. FC Union Berlin · 38′ · 0.82 xG · on targetKevin Volland · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.82 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

1. FC Union Berlin: 13 shots, 5 on target, 2.50 xG. SC Freiburg: 13 shots, 4 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Benedict Hollerbach · 1. FC Union Berlin · 68′Janik Haberer · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′Ritsu Doan · SC Freiburg · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FC Union Berlin 2.50 xG · SC Freiburg 0.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

21. FC Union Berlin
2Draws
1SC Freiburg
SC Freiburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga0–0
1. FC Union Berlin — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga4–2
SC Freiburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga4–1
SC Freiburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–4
1. FC Union Berlin — SC Freiburg · Bundesliga0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · SC Freiburg in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin34 matchesSC Freiburg34 matches
0.97 goals/matchGoals scored34/34▲ 1.32 goals/match
1.71 goals/matchGoals allowed34/341.71 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals34/34▲ 1.47 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots34/3411.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target34/34▲ 4.24 shots/match
42.6%Possession34/34● 46.4%
4.62 corners/match ●Corners34/343.76 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls34/3410.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 34home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 May 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinSC Freiburg
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2023/24
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — SC Freiburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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