Bundesliga · 2024

FC Augsburg 3–1 FC St. Pauli · Bundesliga

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Augsburg won 3–1.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
2.740.51
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Augsburg beat FC St. Pauli 3–1. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – FC St. Pauli): shots 18–11, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 2.74–0.51, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC St. Pauli show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC St. Pauli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Augsburg · FC St. Pauli10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgFC St. PauliBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match10 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against12.3 shots/match11.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

FC St. Pauli have recorded the higher season possession share.

51%PossessionFC Augsburg · FC St. Pauli● 59.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC AugsburgFC St. PauliBaseline
Possession51%59.3%48.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsFC Augsburg 18 shots, FC St. Pauli 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsFC Augsburg 9 shots, FC St. Pauli 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.74 xG0.51 xGFC Augsburg 2.74 xG, FC St. Pauli 0.51 xG
  • Possession43%57%FC Augsburg 43%, FC St. Pauli 57%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersFC Augsburg 7 corners, FC St. Pauli 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsFC Augsburg 12 fouls, FC St. Pauli 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Samuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetEric Smith · FC St. Pauli · 54′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCarlo Boukhalfa · FC St. Pauli · 30′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · FC Augsburg · 36′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElias Saad · FC St. Pauli · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFrank Onyeka · FC Augsburg · 11′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMarius Wolf · FC Augsburg · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 59′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedManolis Saliakas · FC St. Pauli · 77′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedOladapo Afolayan · FC St. Pauli · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Treu · FC St. Pauli · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarlo Boukhalfa · FC St. Pauli · 74′ · 0.05 xG · goalMarius Wolf · FC Augsburg · 47′ · 0.06 xG · goalPhilipp Treu · FC St. Pauli · 64′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMorgan Guilavogui · FC St. Pauli · 30′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKristijan Jakić · FC Augsburg · 36′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAndreas Albers · FC St. Pauli · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 3′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarius Wolf · FC Augsburg · 22′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · FC Augsburg · 22′ · 0.16 xG · on targetPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 66′ · 0.30 xG · goalSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.35 xG · on targetElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 70′ · 0.35 xG · on targetArne Maier · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.40 xG · on targetYusuf Kabadayi · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.52 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 18 shots, 9 on target, 2.77 xG. FC St. Pauli: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Marius Wolf · FC Augsburg · 47′Phillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 66′Yusuf Kabadayi · FC Augsburg · 90′Carlo Boukhalfa · FC St. Pauli · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 2.77 xG · FC St. Pauli 0.51 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC St. Pauli in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg3 matchesFC St. Pauli3 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/30.33 goals/match
2.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 2 goals/match
1.5 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.75 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/310 shots/match
4.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/32.33 shots/match
51%Possession3/3● 59.3%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners3/35 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls3/310.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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