Bundesliga · 2024

FC Augsburg 2–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga

2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

1. FSV Mainz 05 won 2–3.

Shots
295
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
2.461.11
Possession
73%27%

Full time

What the match recorded

1. FSV Mainz 05 beat FC Augsburg 3–2. Recorded in this match (FC Augsburg – 1. FSV Mainz 05): shots 29–5, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.46–1.11, possession 73%–27%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Augsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.3 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Augsburg · 1. FSV Mainz 0511.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC Augsburg1. FSV Mainz 05Baseline
Shots18.3 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match21.5 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

FC Augsburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.5% ●PossessionFC Augsburg · 1. FSV Mainz 0543.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC Augsburg1. FSV Mainz 05Baseline
Possession56.5%43.8%48%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots29 shots5 shotsFC Augsburg 29 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 5 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsFC Augsburg 8 shots, 1. FSV Mainz 05 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.46 xG1.11 xGFC Augsburg 2.46 xG, 1. FSV Mainz 05 1.11 xG
  • Possession73%27%FC Augsburg 73%, 1. FSV Mainz 05 27%
  • Corners14 corners1 cornerFC Augsburg 14 corners, 1. FSV Mainz 05 1 corner
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsFC Augsburg 7 fouls, 1. FSV Mainz 05 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Keven Schlotterbeck · FC Augsburg · 27′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDimitrios Giannoulis · FC Augsburg · 47′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFrank Onyeka · FC Augsburg · 80′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDimitrios Giannoulis · FC Augsburg · 55′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDimitrios Giannoulis · FC Augsburg · 64′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 60′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Kabadayi · FC Augsburg · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedArne Maier · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · FC Augsburg · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSteve Mounié · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetElvis Rexhbeçaj · FC Augsburg · 37′ · 0.07 xG · on targetSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 55′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYusuf Kabadayi · FC Augsburg · 83′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 15′ · 0.08 xG · goalRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKeven Schlotterbeck · FC Augsburg · 25′ · 0.09 xG · goalRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 27′ · 0.09 xG · on targetSteve Mounié · FC Augsburg · 90′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 22′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedDimitrios Giannoulis · FC Augsburg · 86′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedHong Hyun-seok · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 49′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedRubén Vargas · FC Augsburg · 29′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedPhillip Tietz · FC Augsburg · 86′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedArmindo Sieb · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 13′ · 0.24 xG · goalSteve Mounié · FC Augsburg · 66′ · 0.38 xG · on targetSamuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 57′ · 0.40 xG · goalJonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 49′ · 0.56 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Augsburg: 29 shots, 8 on target, 2.48 xG. 1. FSV Mainz 05: 5 shots, 3 on target, 1.12 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Keven Schlotterbeck · FC Augsburg · 25′Samuel Essende · FC Augsburg · 57′Armindo Sieb · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 13′Jonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 15′Jonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Augsburg 2.48 xG · 1. FSV Mainz 05 1.12 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Augsburg
0Draws
31. FSV Mainz 05
1. FSV Mainz 05 — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–0
FC Augsburg — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05 — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–1
FC Augsburg — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga1–2
FC Augsburg — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Augsburg favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FSV Mainz 05 in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Augsburg4 matches1. FSV Mainz 054 matches
1.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 2 goals/match
2.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 2 goals/match
1.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.42 xG/match
18.3 shots/match ▲Shots4/411.5 shots/match
5.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/44.5 shots/match
56.5% ●Possession4/443.8%
7.75 corners/match ●Corners4/45.25 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls4/411.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Sept 2024, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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