Match at a glance SV Werder Bremen won 1–2.
Shots 16 – 14
Shots on target 5 – 5
Expected goals 1.13 – 2.06
Possession 58% – 42% Story Stats Shot map xG H2H Comparison Evidence More football Full time
What the match recorded SV Werder Bremen beat 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1. Recorded in this match (1. FSV Mainz 05 – SV Werder Bremen): shots 16–14, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.13–2.06, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
This match
Match statistics 1. FSV Mainz 05 SV Werder Bremen
Shots 16 shots 14 shots 1. FSV Mainz 05 16 shots, SV Werder Bremen 14 shots Shots on target 5 shots 5 shots 1. FSV Mainz 05 5 shots, SV Werder Bremen 5 shots Expected goals 1.13 xG 2.06 xG 1. FSV Mainz 05 1.13 xG, SV Werder Bremen 2.06 xG Possession 58% 42% 1. FSV Mainz 05 58%, SV Werder Bremen 42% Corners 10 corners 4 corners 1. FSV Mainz 05 10 corners, SV Werder Bremen 4 corners Fouls 12 fouls 7 fouls 1. FSV Mainz 05 12 fouls, SV Werder Bremen 7 fouls Every shot
Shot map Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
Share SV Werder Bremen ← attacking attacking → 1. FSV Mainz 05
Nadiem Amiri · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 12′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blocked Hong Hyun-seok · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blocked Senne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blocked Mitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 35′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blocked Phillipp Mwene · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blocked Armindo Sieb · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on target Marco Grüll · SV Werder Bremen · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blocked Paul Nebel · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 83′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blocked Romano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 25′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blocked Anthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blocked Mitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 5′ · 0.05 xG · on target Jens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 26′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blocked Jens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blocked Romano Schmid · SV Werder Bremen · 74′ · 0.05 xG · on target Anthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 58′ · 0.06 xG · on target Nadiem Amiri · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 63′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blocked Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blocked Anthony Caci · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 75′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blocked Jonathan Burkardt · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 22′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blocked Maxim Leitsch · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blocked Jae-sung Lee · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blocked Hong Hyun-seok · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 49′ · 0.08 xG · on target Mitchell Weiser · SV Werder Bremen · 53′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blocked Armindo Sieb · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 87′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blocked Senne Lynen · SV Werder Bremen · 5′ · 0.13 xG · on target Jae-sung Lee · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 27′ · 0.18 xG · goal Hong Hyun-seok · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 49′ · 0.21 xG · on target Derrick Köhn · SV Werder Bremen · 69′ · 0.31 xG · goal Jens Stage · SV Werder Bremen · 5′ · 0.38 xG · off target or blocked Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 8′ · 0.82 xG · goal size = xG 1. FSV Mainz 05: 16 shots, 5 on target, 1.12 xG. SV Werder Bremen: 14 shots, 5 on target, 2.11 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
Share 1. FSV Mainz 05 1.12 xG SV Werder Bremen 2.11 xG
0 1.25 2.5 0′ HT 90′ Jae-sung Lee · 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 27′ Marvin Ducksch · SV Werder Bremen · 8′ Derrick Köhn · SV Werder Bremen · 69′ The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: 1. FSV Mainz 05 1.12 xG · SV Werder Bremen 2.11 xG.
History
Head-to-head Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
1 1. FSV Mainz 05
1 Draws
2 SV Werder Bremen
3 Feb 2024 1. FSV Mainz 05 — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga 0–1
2 Sept 2023 SV Werder Bremen — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga 4–0
8 Apr 2023 1. FSV Mainz 05 — SV Werder Bremen · Bundesliga 2–2
15 Oct 2022 SV Werder Bremen — 1. FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga 0–2
Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Where the edge is Season: 1. FSV Mainz 05 favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · SV Werder Bremen in 0 · 11 too close
▲ led this metric● higher value (descriptive)
Season Last 10 Last 5 Style profile Rest and recent workload
1. FSV Mainz 05 3 matches SV Werder Bremen 3 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲ Goals scored3/3 1.33 goals/match
2 goals/match Goals allowed3/3 ▲ 1 goal/match
1.52 xG/match ▲ Expected goals3/3 1.29 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲ Shots3/3 10 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲ Shots on target3/3 3.67 shots/match
49.3% ● Possession3/3 47.7%
6.67 corners/match ● Corners3/3 3.67 corners/match
11.3 fouls/match Fouls3/3 9.33 fouls/match
1. FSV Mainz 05 3 matches SV Werder Bremen 3 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲ Goals scored3/3 1.33 goals/match
2 goals/match Goals allowed3/3 ▲ 1 goal/match
1.52 xG/match ▲ Expected goals3/3 1.29 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲ Shots3/3 10 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲ Shots on target3/3 3.67 shots/match
49.3% ● Possession3/3 47.7%
6.67 corners/match ● Corners3/3 3.67 corners/match
11.3 fouls/match Fouls3/3 9.33 fouls/match
1. FSV Mainz 05 3 matches SV Werder Bremen 3 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲ Goals scored3/3 1.33 goals/match
2 goals/match Goals allowed3/3 ▲ 1 goal/match
1.52 xG/match ▲ Expected goals3/3 1.29 xG/match
13.7 shots/match ▲ Shots3/3 10 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲ Shots on target3/3 3.67 shots/match
49.3% ● Possession3/3 47.7%
6.67 corners/match ● Corners3/3 3.67 corners/match
11.3 fouls/match Fouls3/3 9.33 fouls/match
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Attacking volume Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Defensive resistance Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Directness proxy Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Physicality Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50% Set-piece relevance Corner volume relative to competition peers.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Tempo and pressure proxy Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100% Rest before fixture · Both teams: 15.1 days Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 0 matches 1. FSV Mainz 05 / SV Werder Bremen
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis Grade C · Limited evidence Limited evidence — limited
Season samples 3 / 3 home / away teams
Recent samples 3 / 3 last-five windows
Freshness Less than one day from nearest prior match
At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample. At least one team has an incomplete last-five window. Known unknowns Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset. Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards. The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions. The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season. Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4 Team rankings in Bundesliga 
1. FSV Mainz 05
Bundesliga · 2024
FC Augsburg
FC Bayern München
FC St. Pauli
Holstein Kiel