PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Holstein Kiel 1–6 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

1–6Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 1–6.

Shots
523
Shots on target
112
Expected goals
0.323.26
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Holstein Kiel 6–1. Recorded in this match (Holstein Kiel – FC Bayern München): shots 5–23, shots on target 1–12, expected goals 0.32–3.26, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Holstein Kiel show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Holstein Kiel's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHolstein Kiel · FC Bayern München16.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricHolstein KielFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match16.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against19 shots/match8 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

FC Bayern München have recorded the higher season possession share.

43%PossessionHolstein Kiel · FC Bayern München● 69.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricHolstein KielFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Possession43%69.3%46.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots23 shotsHolstein Kiel 5 shots, FC Bayern München 23 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot12 shotsHolstein Kiel 1 shot, FC Bayern München 12 shots
  • Expected goals0.32 xG3.26 xGHolstein Kiel 0.32 xG, FC Bayern München 3.26 xG
  • Possession30%70%Holstein Kiel 30%, FC Bayern München 70%
  • Corners2 corners10 cornersHolstein Kiel 2 corners, FC Bayern München 10 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsHolstein Kiel 12 fouls, FC Bayern München 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Holstein Kiel favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Holstein Kiel3 matchesFC Bayern München3 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 3.67 goals/match
3.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1 goal/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 2.42 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 16.7 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target3/3▲ 7.67 shots/match
43%Possession3/3● 69.3%
3 corners/matchCorners3/3● 6.33 corners/match
14.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsHolstein KielFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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