PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

VfL Bochum 1848 2–2 Holstein Kiel · Bundesliga

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Bochum 1848 and Holstein Kiel drew 2–2.

Shots
1414
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.771.87
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Bochum 1848 and Holstein Kiel drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (VfL Bochum 1848 – Holstein Kiel): shots 14–14, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.77–1.87, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

weak

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

15 fouls/matchFoulsVfL Bochum 1848 · Holstein Kiel13 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVfL Bochum 1848Holstein KielBaseline
Fouls15 fouls/match13 fouls/match11.1 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots14 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 14 shots, Holstein Kiel 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsVfL Bochum 1848 3 shots, Holstein Kiel 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.77 xG1.87 xGVfL Bochum 1848 0.77 xG, Holstein Kiel 1.87 xG
  • Possession44%56%VfL Bochum 1848 44%, Holstein Kiel 56%
  • Corners2 corners5 cornersVfL Bochum 1848 2 corners, Holstein Kiel 5 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls9 foulsVfL Bochum 1848 19 fouls, Holstein Kiel 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Philipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 58′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedFelix Passlack · VfL Bochum 1848 · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTimo Becker · Holstein Kiel · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Kwarteng · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedPhilipp Hofmann · VfL Bochum 1848 · 20′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTymoteusz Puchacz · Holstein Kiel · 32′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLewis Holtby · Holstein Kiel · 40′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDani De Wit · VfL Bochum 1848 · 65′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedFiete Arp · Holstein Kiel · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMats Pannewig · VfL Bochum 1848 · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedArmin Gigović · Holstein Kiel · 12′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCarl Johansson · Holstein Kiel · 26′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAnthony Losilla · VfL Bochum 1848 · 29′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDani De Wit · VfL Bochum 1848 · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 74′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMoritz Broschinski · VfL Bochum 1848 · 68′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFiete Arp · Holstein Kiel · 73′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAndu Kelati · Holstein Kiel · 45′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedLukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 35′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSteven Skrzybski · Holstein Kiel · 79′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAndu Kelati · Holstein Kiel · 55′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedLukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 35′ · 0.13 xG · goalMatúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 22′ · 0.15 xG · goalArmin Gigović · Holstein Kiel · 61′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedBenedikt Pichler · Holstein Kiel · 12′ · 0.22 xG · off target or blockedShuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 89′ · 0.25 xG · goalBenedikt Pichler · Holstein Kiel · 15′ · 0.71 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Bochum 1848: 14 shots, 3 on target, 0.77 xG. Holstein Kiel: 14 shots, 4 on target, 1.91 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Matúš Bero · VfL Bochum 1848 · 22′Lukas Daschner · VfL Bochum 1848 · 35′Benedikt Pichler · Holstein Kiel · 15′Shuto Machino · Holstein Kiel · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Bochum 1848 0.77 xG · Holstein Kiel 1.91 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Bochum 1848 favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Holstein Kiel in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Bochum 18484 matchesHolstein Kiel4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/43.25 goals/match
0.84 xG/matchExpected goals4/4▲ 1.29 xG/match
13 shots/match ▲Shots4/412.3 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 4 shots/match
41.5%Possession4/4● 46.3%
3.5 corners/matchCorners4/43.5 corners/match
15 fouls/matchFouls4/413 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVfL Bochum 1848Holstein Kiel
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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