PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Borussia M'gladbach 1–3 VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga

1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfB Stuttgart won 1–3.

Shots
1512
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
1.652.2
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfB Stuttgart beat Borussia M'gladbach 3–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia M'gladbach – VfB Stuttgart): shots 15–12, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 1.65–2.2, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

VfB Stuttgart show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

VfB Stuttgart's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia M'gladbach · VfB Stuttgart16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachVfB StuttgartBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match16.3 shots/match13.8 shots/match
Shots against17.3 shots/match14 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

VfB Stuttgart have recorded the higher season possession share.

49%PossessionBorussia M'gladbach · VfB Stuttgart● 62.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 13.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBorussia M'gladbachVfB StuttgartBaseline
Possession49%62.3%46.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots12 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 15 shots, VfB Stuttgart 12 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsBorussia M'gladbach 7 shots, VfB Stuttgart 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.65 xG2.2 xGBorussia M'gladbach 1.65 xG, VfB Stuttgart 2.2 xG
  • Possession44%56%Borussia M'gladbach 44%, VfB Stuttgart 56%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersBorussia M'gladbach 6 corners, VfB Stuttgart 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls12 foulsBorussia M'gladbach 14 fouls, VfB Stuttgart 12 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Philipp Sander · Borussia M'gladbach · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoe Scally · Borussia M'gladbach · 54′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamie Leweling · VfB Stuttgart · 21′ · 0.03 xG · on targetNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 73′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 5′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 6′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 50′ · 0.04 xG · on targetChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 84′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 26′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKo Itakura · Borussia M'gladbach · 31′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRobin Hack · Borussia M'gladbach · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Millot · VfB Stuttgart · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 30′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTim Kleindienst · Borussia M'gladbach · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedFranck Honorat · Borussia M'gladbach · 48′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedNathan N'Goumou · Borussia M'gladbach · 32′ · 0.13 xG · on targetChris Führich · VfB Stuttgart · 81′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 61′ · 0.19 xG · goalDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 61′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 16′ · 0.28 xG · on targetAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 27′ · 0.46 xG · goalErmedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 57′ · 0.50 xG · goalAlassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 26′ · 0.56 xG · on targetDeniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 21′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia M'gladbach: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.70 xG. VfB Stuttgart: 12 shots, 7 on target, 2.19 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Alassane Pléa · Borussia M'gladbach · 27′Deniz Undav · VfB Stuttgart · 21′Ermedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 57′Ermedin Demirović · VfB Stuttgart · 61′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia M'gladbach 1.70 xG · VfB Stuttgart 2.19 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Borussia M'gladbach
0Draws
3VfB Stuttgart
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga4–0
Borussia M'gladbach — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga3–1
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga2–1
Borussia M'gladbach — VfB Stuttgart · Bundesliga3–1
VfB Stuttgart — Borussia M'gladbach · Bundesliga3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia M'gladbach favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · VfB Stuttgart in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia M'gladbach3 matchesVfB Stuttgart3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/3▲ 2.33 goals/match
2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.33 goals/match
2.06 xG/matchExpected goals3/32.13 xG/match
14.7 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 16.3 shots/match
6.67 shots/matchShots on target3/37 shots/match
49%Possession3/3● 62.3%
4 corners/matchCorners3/3● 5.33 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls3/39.33 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 14 Sept 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia M'gladbachVfB Stuttgart
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBorussia M'gladbach — VfB Stuttgart
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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