Bundesliga · 2024Fri, 22 Nov 2024, 19:30 UTCFull timeFull-time recap

FC Bayern München

DWWWW

3–0Full-time recap

FC Augsburg

WLWDD

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

Metric	FC Bayern München	FC Augsburg
Shots	33 shots/match▲	2 shots/match
Shots on target	14 shots/match▲	1 shots/match
Expected goals	3.75 xG/match▲	0.1 xG/match
Possession	80%●	20%
Corners	8 corners/match●	0 corners/match
Fouls	9 fouls/match	9 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

FC Bayern München: 33 shots, 14 on target, 3.81 xG. FC Augsburg: 2 shots, 1 on target, 0.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 3.81 xG · FC Augsburg 0.10 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: FC Augsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. Limitation: The fixture is outside the configured active season.

FC Augsburg have a visible away split

moderate

FC Augsburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.2 shots/match▲ShotsAway only · Season12.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

Metric	Away only	Season	Baseline
Shots	7.2 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

FC Augsburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

FC Augsburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

20 shots/match▲ShotsFC Bayern München · FC Augsburg12.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	FC Bayern München	FC Augsburg	Baseline
Shots	20 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	12.6 shots/match
Shots against	5.09 shots/match	14.4 shots/match	14.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Augsburg's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Augsburg's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.4 shots/match▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.5 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

Metric	Last 5	Season	Baseline
Shots	8.4 shots/match	12.5 shots/match	12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

4FC Bayern München

0Draws

1FC Augsburg

27 Jan 2024FC Augsburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–3

27 Aug 2023FC Bayern München — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga3–1

11 Mar 2023FC Bayern München — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga5–3

17 Sept 2022FC Augsburg — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga1–0

9 Apr 2022FC Bayern München — FC Augsburg · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages · sample sizes shown with each metric. Context, not a forecast.

Where the edge is

FC Bayern München favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · FC Augsburg in 0 · 2 too close

3.27 goals/match▲Goals scoredseason · 11/111.18 goals/match

0.64 goals/match▲Goals allowedseason · 11/112.09 goals/match

2.41 xG/match▲Expected goalsseason · 11/111.08 xG/match

0.57 xG/match▲Expected goals allowedseason · 11/111.54 xG/match

20 shots/match▲Shotsseason · 11/1112.5 shots/match

5.09 shots/match▲Shots allowedseason · 11/1114.4 shots/match

8.45 shots/match▲Shots on targetseason · 11/113.64 shots/match

1.55 shots/match▲Shots on target allowedseason · 11/115.64 shots/match

72%●Possessionseason · 11/1142%

7.09 corners/match●Cornersseason · 11/115.45 corners/match

2.09 corners/match▲Corners allowedseason · 11/115.45 corners/match

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

8.64 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/1111.4 fouls/match

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

64%▲Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/119%

100%▲Scoring frequencyseason · 11/1164%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FC Bayern München97.2

FC Augsburg13.9

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FC Bayern München97.2

FC Augsburg23.1

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FC Bayern München95.4

FC Augsburg28.7

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FC Bayern München52.8

FC Augsburg69.4

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FC Bayern München8.3

FC Augsburg58.3

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FC Bayern München91.7

FC Augsburg75

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FC Bayern München73.6

FC Augsburg45.8

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Season

FC Bayern München11 matchesFC Augsburg11 matches

3.27 goals/match▲Goals scored11/111.18 goals/match

0.64 goals/match▲Goals allowed11/112.09 goals/match

2.41 xG/match▲Expected goals11/111.08 xG/match

20 shots/match▲Shots11/1112.5 shots/match

8.45 shots/match▲Shots on target11/113.64 shots/match

72%●Possession11/1142%

7.09 corners/match●Corners11/115.45 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.64 fouls/matchFouls11/1111.4 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

FC Bayern München5 matchesFC Augsburg5 matches

2.6 goals/match▲Goals scored5/50.4 goals/match

0.2 goals/match▲Goals allowed5/53 goals/match

2.52 xG/match▲Expected goals5/50.58 xG/match

20.2 shots/match▲Shots5/57.2 shots/match

7.4 shots/match▲Shots on target5/51.4 shots/match

72%●Possession5/539.6%

6 corners/match●Corners5/53.2 corners/match

—Cards0/0—

8.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.6 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.2 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/112.2 days

1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidencelimited

Season samples11 / 11home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Fri, 22 Nov 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4