Bundesliga · 2024

VfL Wolfsburg 1–0 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

VfL Wolfsburg won 1–0.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
0.580.51
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

VfL Wolfsburg beat 1. FC Union Berlin 1–0. Recorded in this match (VfL Wolfsburg – 1. FC Union Berlin): shots 10–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 0.58–0.51, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

1. FC Union Berlin's recent record differs from the season

moderate

1. FC Union Berlin's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.82 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.82 goals/match1.52 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated fouls records

moderate

Each team's season fouls average is above the competition baseline.

13 fouls/matchFoulsVfL Wolfsburg · 1. FC Union Berlin13.4 fouls/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricVfL Wolfsburg1. FC Union BerlinBaseline
Fouls13 fouls/match13.4 fouls/match10.8 fouls/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 10 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsVfL Wolfsburg 5 shots, 1. FC Union Berlin 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.58 xG0.51 xGVfL Wolfsburg 0.58 xG, 1. FC Union Berlin 0.51 xG
  • Possession55%45%VfL Wolfsburg 55%, 1. FC Union Berlin 45%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersVfL Wolfsburg 8 corners, 1. FC Union Berlin 5 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls15 foulsVfL Wolfsburg 7 fouls, 1. FC Union Berlin 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 44′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRidle Baku · VfL Wolfsburg · 40′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · 1. FC Union Berlin · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Alexander Rothe · 1. FC Union Berlin · 54′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAljoscha Kemlein · 1. FC Union Berlin · 59′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRani Khedira · 1. FC Union Berlin · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAljoscha Kemlein · 1. FC Union Berlin · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · 1. FC Union Berlin · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 67′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMohamed Amoura · VfL Wolfsburg · 10′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRidle Baku · VfL Wolfsburg · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaximilian Arnold · VfL Wolfsburg · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJordan Siebatcheu · 1. FC Union Berlin · 6′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAljoscha Kemlein · 1. FC Union Berlin · 70′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTom Alexander Rothe · 1. FC Union Berlin · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTiago Tomás · VfL Wolfsburg · 25′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAljoscha Kemlein · 1. FC Union Berlin · 60′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJordan Siebatcheu · 1. FC Union Berlin · 74′ · 0.09 xG · on targetLukas Nmecha · VfL Wolfsburg · 76′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRidle Baku · VfL Wolfsburg · 71′ · 0.14 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

VfL Wolfsburg: 10 shots, 5 on target, 0.56 xG. 1. FC Union Berlin: 11 shots, 4 on target, 0.52 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Ridle Baku · VfL Wolfsburg · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: VfL Wolfsburg 0.56 xG · 1. FC Union Berlin 0.52 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2VfL Wolfsburg
1Draws
21. FC Union Berlin
1. FC Union Berlin — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga1–0
VfL Wolfsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga2–1
VfL Wolfsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–1
1. FC Union Berlin — VfL Wolfsburg · Bundesliga2–0
VfL Wolfsburg — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: VfL Wolfsburg favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · 1. FC Union Berlin in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

VfL Wolfsburg11 matches1. FC Union Berlin11 matches
1.82 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/110.82 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/110.91 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots11/1111.7 shots/match
4.45 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/113.73 shots/match
43.4% ●Possession11/1140.5%
4.82 corners/match ●Corners11/114.64 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls11/1113.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 23 Nov 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

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