PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

FC Bayern München 1–0 Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Bayern München won 1–0.

Shots
1811
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
2.410.77
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Bayern München beat Paris Saint-Germain 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Bayern München – Paris Saint-Germain): shots 18–11, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 2.41–0.77, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

8.4 corners/match ●CornersFC Bayern München · Paris Saint-Germain6.6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFC Bayern MünchenParis Saint-GermainBaseline
Corners8.4 corners/match6.6 corners/match4.5 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

FC Bayern München have a visible home split

weak

FC Bayern München's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

23.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season19.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots23.7 shots/match19.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots11 shotsFC Bayern München 18 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsFC Bayern München 7 shots, Paris Saint-Germain 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.41 xG0.77 xGFC Bayern München 2.41 xG, Paris Saint-Germain 0.77 xG
  • Possession57%43%FC Bayern München 57%, Paris Saint-Germain 43%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersFC Bayern München 4 corners, Paris Saint-Germain 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls10 foulsFC Bayern München 13 fouls, Paris Saint-Germain 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ousmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 20′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 45′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 8′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 51′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedFabián Ruiz · Paris Saint-Germain · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHarry Kane · FC Bayern München · 69′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 4′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 12′ · 0.05 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 82′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Neves · Paris Saint-Germain · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 28′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedWarren Zaïre-Emery · Paris Saint-Germain · 29′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 66′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 56′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedOusmane Dembélé · Paris Saint-Germain · 32′ · 0.12 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 45′ · 0.12 xG · on targetSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 74′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedMichael Olise · FC Bayern München · 73′ · 0.13 xG · on targetJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 74′ · 0.14 xG · on targetKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 41′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNuno Mendes · Paris Saint-Germain · 65′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedSerge Gnabry · FC Bayern München · 88′ · 0.30 xG · off target or blockedKim Min-jae · FC Bayern München · 38′ · 0.38 xG · goalJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 7′ · 0.50 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Bayern München: 18 shots, 7 on target, 2.37 xG. Paris Saint-Germain: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.78 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Kim Min-jae · FC Bayern München · 38′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Bayern München 2.37 xG · Paris Saint-Germain 0.78 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Bayern München
0Draws
0Paris Saint-Germain
FC Bayern München — Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League2–0
Paris Saint-Germain — FC Bayern München · UEFA Champions League0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Bayern München favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Paris Saint-Germain in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Bayern München5 matchesParis Saint-Germain5 matches
2.4 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
2.54 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.59 xG/match
19.8 shots/matchShots5/519 shots/match
9.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/55.4 shots/match
66.2% ●Possession5/560.8%
8.4 corners/match ●Corners5/56.6 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls5/59.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 27 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC Bayern MünchenParis Saint-Germain
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
Head-to-headFC Bayern München — Paris Saint-Germain
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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