PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2024

Borussia Dortmund 1–1 FC Bayern München · Bundesliga

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund and FC Bayern München drew 1–1.

Shots
714
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
0.61.55
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund and FC Bayern München drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Borussia Dortmund – FC Bayern München): shots 7–14, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 0.6–1.55, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund have a visible home split

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsBorussia Dortmund · FC Bayern München19.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBorussia DortmundFC Bayern MünchenBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match19.5 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against10.6 shots/match5.25 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

FC Bayern München's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Bayern München's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season3.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match3.08 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsBorussia Dortmund 7 shots, FC Bayern München 14 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsBorussia Dortmund 2 shots, FC Bayern München 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.6 xG1.55 xGBorussia Dortmund 0.6 xG, FC Bayern München 1.55 xG
  • Possession33%67%Borussia Dortmund 33%, FC Bayern München 67%
  • Corners2 corners3 cornersBorussia Dortmund 2 corners, FC Bayern München 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls7 foulsBorussia Dortmund 11 fouls, FC Bayern München 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mathys Tel · FC Bayern München · 48′ · 0.01 xG · on targetFelix Nmecha · Borussia Dortmund · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 59′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAlphonso Davies · FC Bayern München · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJoshua Kimmich · FC Bayern München · 8′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 42′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKingsley Coman · FC Bayern München · 68′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMaximilian Beier · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 11′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 22′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedPascal Groß · Borussia Dortmund · 42′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeon Goretzka · FC Bayern München · 63′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 85′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 7′ · 0.07 xG · on targetThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 37′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 27′ · 0.15 xG · goalJamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 85′ · 0.16 xG · goalMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 62′ · 0.21 xG · on targetThomas Müller · FC Bayern München · 49′ · 0.33 xG · on targetLeroy Sané · FC Bayern München · 61′ · 0.47 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Borussia Dortmund: 7 shots, 2 on target, 0.60 xG. FC Bayern München: 14 shots, 5 on target, 1.51 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 27′Jamal Musiala · FC Bayern München · 85′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Borussia Dortmund 0.60 xG · FC Bayern München 1.51 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Borussia Dortmund
1Draws
3FC Bayern München
FC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga0–2
Borussia Dortmund — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga0–4
FC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga4–2
Borussia Dortmund — FC Bayern München · Bundesliga2–2
FC Bayern München — Borussia Dortmund · Bundesliga3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Borussia Dortmund favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Bayern München in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Borussia Dortmund12 matchesFC Bayern München12 matches
1.92 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 3.08 goals/match
1.58 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.55 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 2.34 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 19.5 shots/match
4.83 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 8.17 shots/match
59.3%Possession12/12● 71.6%
5.33 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6.75 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls12/128.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Nov 2024, 21:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBorussia DortmundFC Bayern München
CompetitionBundesligaBundesliga 2024/25
Head-to-headBorussia Dortmund — FC Bayern München
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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