PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0–3 Borussia Dortmund · UEFA Champions League

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Borussia Dortmund won 0–3.

Shots
517
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
0.141.72
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Borussia Dortmund beat GNK Dinamo Zagreb 3–0. Recorded in this match (GNK Dinamo Zagreb – Borussia Dortmund): shots 5–17, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 0.14–1.72, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Borussia Dortmund show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Borussia Dortmund's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.7 shots/match ▲ShotsGNK Dinamo Zagreb · Borussia Dortmund15.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGNK Dinamo ZagrebBorussia DortmundBaseline
Shots10.7 shots/match15.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against17.1 shots/match13 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Borussia Dortmund have recorded the higher season possession share.

39.1%PossessionGNK Dinamo Zagreb · Borussia Dortmund● 60%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 20.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGNK Dinamo ZagrebBorussia DortmundBaseline
Possession39.1%60%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots17 shotsGNK Dinamo Zagreb 5 shots, Borussia Dortmund 17 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsGNK Dinamo Zagreb 1 shot, Borussia Dortmund 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.14 xG1.72 xGGNK Dinamo Zagreb 0.14 xG, Borussia Dortmund 1.72 xG
  • Possession30%70%GNK Dinamo Zagreb 30%, Borussia Dortmund 70%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersGNK Dinamo Zagreb 3 corners, Borussia Dortmund 8 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsGNK Dinamo Zagreb 12 fouls, Borussia Dortmund 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 28′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedLuka Stojković · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRonaël Pierre-Gabriel · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 15′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWaldemar Anton · Borussia Dortmund · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 40′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJulien Duranville · Borussia Dortmund · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedDario Špikić · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 83′ · 0.03 xG · on targetArber Hoxha · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGiovanni Reyna · Borussia Dortmund · 88′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuka Stojković · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 25′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 27′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 41′ · 0.06 xG · goalNico Schlotterbeck · Borussia Dortmund · 56′ · 0.06 xG · on targetRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 11′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedYan Couto · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 3′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 8′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMarcel Sabitzer · Borussia Dortmund · 36′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 65′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDonyell Malen · Borussia Dortmund · 41′ · 0.18 xG · on targetRamy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 56′ · 0.28 xG · goalSerhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 90′ · 0.40 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.16 xG. Borussia Dortmund: 17 shots, 6 on target, 1.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Jamie Gittens · Borussia Dortmund · 41′Ramy Bensebaini · Borussia Dortmund · 56′Serhou Guirassy · Borussia Dortmund · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0.16 xG · Borussia Dortmund 1.75 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: GNK Dinamo Zagreb favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Borussia Dortmund in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

GNK Dinamo Zagreb7 matchesBorussia Dortmund5 matches
2.14 goals/matchGoals scored7/5▲ 3.2 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed7/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals5/5▲ 1.95 xG/match
10.7 shots/matchShots7/5▲ 15.8 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target7/5▲ 8 shots/match
39.1%Possession7/5● 60%
3.29 corners/matchCorners7/5● 6.8 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/510.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 28 Nov 2024, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGNK Dinamo ZagrebBorussia Dortmund
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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