PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2024

GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0–0 Celtic · UEFA Champions League

0–0Historical match

Celtic

WLDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

GNK Dinamo Zagreb and Celtic drew 0–0.

Shots
117
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
0.530.43
Possession
31%69%

Full time

What the match recorded

GNK Dinamo Zagreb and Celtic drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (GNK Dinamo Zagreb – Celtic): shots 11–7, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 0.53–0.43, possession 31%–69%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Celtic's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Celtic's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.67 goals/match1.67 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Celtic have a visible away split

weak

Celtic's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.67 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.67 shots/match10 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Celtic have recorded the higher season possession share.

38.1%PossessionGNK Dinamo Zagreb · Celtic● 55.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 17.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGNK Dinamo ZagrebCelticBaseline
Possession38.1%55.2%49.6%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots7 shotsGNK Dinamo Zagreb 11 shots, Celtic 7 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotGNK Dinamo Zagreb 2 shots, Celtic 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.53 xG0.43 xGGNK Dinamo Zagreb 0.53 xG, Celtic 0.43 xG
  • Possession31%69%GNK Dinamo Zagreb 31%, Celtic 69%
  • Corners4 corners10 cornersGNK Dinamo Zagreb 4 corners, Celtic 10 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls9 foulsGNK Dinamo Zagreb 9 fouls, Celtic 9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Reo Hatate · Celtic · 64′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMaxime Bernauer · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 81′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMarko Rog · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMartin Baturina · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedStefan Ristovski · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 61′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLuke McCowan · Celtic · 69′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMaxime Bernauer · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarko Pjaca · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMartin Baturina · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 58′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJames Forrest · Celtic · 76′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSandro Kulenović · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 29′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedCameron Carter-Vickers · Celtic · 59′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMartin Baturina · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 63′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAdam Idah · Celtic · 87′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedNicolas-Gerrit Kühn · Celtic · 50′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedSandro Kulenović · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarko Pjaca · GNK Dinamo Zagreb · 80′ · 0.10 xG · on targetPaulo Bernardo · Celtic · 16′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

GNK Dinamo Zagreb: 11 shots, 2 on target, 0.54 xG. Celtic: 7 shots, 1 on target, 0.43 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: GNK Dinamo Zagreb 0.54 xG · Celtic 0.43 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: GNK Dinamo Zagreb favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Celtic in 7

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

GNK Dinamo Zagreb8 matchesCeltic6 matches
1.88 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/61.67 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/6▲ 1.67 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.57 xG/match
10.8 shots/match ▲Shots8/610 shots/match
3.75 shots/matchShots on target8/6▲ 4 shots/match
38.1%Possession8/6● 55.2%
3.38 corners/matchCorners8/6● 6.67 corners/match
12.1 fouls/matchFouls8/68.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 10 Dec 2024, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGNK Dinamo ZagrebCeltic
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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